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CVE-2021-34523 · ProxyShell

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Microsoft Exchange Server Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability

CVE-2021-345234 of 4 sources documented this
70

rank 70 = 40 + 19 + 0 + 5 + 6

rank@v1 · act now

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.99990 · CISA KEV listed  ·  without this subject the record ranks 30

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 7.5, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 51

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

no persisting rise in 365 days  ·  without this subject the record ranks 70

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

3 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 65

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

CISA remediation date held  ·  without this subject the record ranks 64

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$4.40Mover the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement+$487,000on 2024-12-17, the last material move, 1 year, 8 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$4.40M = $4.99M incident cost x 0.8814887365328109 exposure x 0.9999 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.9999EPSSKEV · LISTED
Severity9 CRITICALreceipt
Harmpartial impact · ransomware-linkedreceipt
Exploitationransomware use knownreceipt
Defensefix version namedreceipt
Movementdoubled within 72hreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2024-12-17, 626 days at 1.00, as of 2026-09-04. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

No weakness class or product neighbourhood is held for this record, so this index cannot name anywhere to check next. That is an absence in the record, not a finding about the software.

Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signal

Sources disagree here.

Severity score
Microsoft9 CRITICALreceipt
NVD7.5 HIGHreceipt
Scoring standard
MicrosoftCVSS v3.1receipt
NVDCVSS v2.0receipt

Both shown, dated. We don't pick winners. disagreement-rules@v1

Running Microsoft Exchange Server 2013 Cumulative…? Check your version

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

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Reachneeds local access · no privileges required · no user interaction · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality and integrity loss, with impact beyond the vulnerable componentreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · the CNA's vectorreceipt
Weakness classNo CWE mapping in held sources.
Ransomware campaign useKnown (CISA)receipt

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed in15.00.1497.015; 15.01.2176.012; 15.01.2242.008; 15.02.0792.013; 15.02.0858.010receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.
CISA remediation statusoverdue since 2021-11-17receipt
CISA required actionApply updates per vendor instructions.receipt
Published to CISA KEV112 daysderived

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Ransomware campaign use known, 2021-11-03.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published · 2 public repositories2021-10-02receipt
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed2021-11-03receipt
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known2021-11-03receipt

Authority who says so

CVSS, the CNA9 CRITICALreceipt
CVSS, NVD7.5 HIGHreceipt
Exploit probability0.9999 · top 0.01% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymicrosoftreceipt
Recorded changes130 · last 7 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productMicrosoft Exchange Server 2013 Cumulative Update 23; Microsoft Exchange Server 2016 Cumulative Update 19; Microsoft Exchange Server 2016 Cumulative Update 20…receipt
Published rangesmicrosoft exchange server 2013; microsoft exchange server 2016; microsoft exchange server 2019receipt
Fixed in15.00.1497.015; 15.01.2176.012; 15.01.2242.008; 15.02.0792.013; 15.02.0858.010receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

ProxyShell is the common name for CVE-2021-34523. Microsoft Exchange Server Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability cve-aliases@2026-08-27

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
7.5 AV:N/AC:L/Au:N/C:P/I:P/A:P
affected versions
microsoft exchange server 2013; microsoft exchange server 2016; microsoft exchange server 2019
also scored by
[email protected] 9 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:C/C:H/I:H/A:N · [email protected] 9.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

The CNA scored it 9 and NVD 7.5. Both are shown because both were published; we do not pick one.

check it yourself msrc.microsoft.com receipt

Dated events

2021-07-23EPSS moved 0.01 to 0.072021-11-03Added to CISA KEV2021-11-17CISA remediation due2023-03-07EPSS moved 0.17 to 0.982026-06-15EPSS moved 0.94 to 1.00

Movement the material steps

15 Jul 20210.00416
20 Aug 20210.34671 · crossed 0.10
14 Sep 20210.08756 · crossed 0.10
16 Sep 20210.41489 · crossed 0.10
25 Sep 20210.76085 · crossed 0.50
4 Feb 20220.16784 · crossed 0.50
7 Mar 20230.97507 · crossed 0.50 and 0.90 · scoring model v2023.03.01
29 Dec 20230.54148 · crossed 0.90
7 Feb 20240.67444
29 Mar 20240.78222
17 Dec 20240.95882 · crossed 0.90
17 Mar 20250.93959 · scoring model v2025.03.14
15 Jun 20260.99987 · scoring model v2026.06.15
11 Aug 20260.9999

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 116 observations
15 Jul 20210.00416
20 Jul 20210.00624
23 Jul 20210.06701
20 Aug 20210.34671
21 Aug 20210.41489
14 Sep 20210.08756
16 Sep 20210.41489
25 Sep 20210.76085
4 Feb 20220.16784
7 Mar 20230.97507
3 Apr 20230.97469
18 Apr 20230.97463
3 May 20230.97470
8 May 20230.97467
13 Jun 20230.97480
29 Jun 20230.97493
8 Jul 20230.97323
11 Jul 20230.97310
28 Jul 20230.97368
10 Aug 20230.97397
7 Sep 20230.97426
22 Sep 20230.97278
6 Oct 20230.97263
18 Oct 20230.97279
14 Dec 20230.97210
29 Dec 20230.54148
23 Jan 20240.60757
7 Feb 20240.67444
18 Feb 20240.69316
3 Mar 20240.72231
29 Mar 20240.78222
24 Apr 20240.75755
9 May 20240.84431
22 May 20240.80903
5 Jun 20240.86448
19 Jun 20240.82011
17 Jul 20240.85862
31 Jul 20240.80969
16 Aug 20240.84484
30 Aug 20240.80969
30 Sep 20240.78051
15 Oct 20240.80882
30 Oct 20240.82089
16 Nov 20240.84812
17 Dec 20240.95882
25 Feb 20250.96111
13 Mar 20250.95984
17 Mar 20250.93959
19 Mar 20250.93925
22 Mar 20250.93848
24 Mar 20250.93809
3 Apr 20250.93786
4 Apr 20250.93906
11 Apr 20250.93985
15 Apr 20250.93913
16 Apr 20250.9396
17 Apr 20250.93916
28 Apr 20250.93945
30 Apr 20250.94041
11 May 20250.94181
17 May 20250.94149
4 Jun 20250.94102
5 Jun 20250.94149
13 Jun 20250.94102
15 Jun 20250.94149
27 Jun 20250.94117
2 Jul 20250.93973
15 Jul 20250.94149
16 Jul 20250.94053
17 Jul 20250.94091
18 Jul 20250.94171
19 Jul 20250.94132
23 Jul 20250.94045
24 Jul 20250.93986
26 Jul 20250.94028
30 Jul 20250.93997
6 Aug 20250.94066
14 Aug 20250.9401
18 Aug 20250.94066
20 Aug 20250.94104
27 Aug 20250.94066
14 Sep 20250.94049
1 Oct 20250.94022
15 Oct 20250.9404
17 Oct 20250.93993
22 Oct 20250.94009
27 Oct 20250.93977
28 Oct 20250.94009
30 Oct 20250.94055
13 Nov 20250.94009
18 Nov 20250.9308
21 Nov 20250.93998
22 Nov 20250.94042
27 Nov 20250.93947
1 Dec 20250.94009
3 Dec 20250.93947
10 Dec 20250.93998
19 Dec 20250.94055
27 Dec 20250.94026
28 Dec 20250.94055
13 Jan 20260.93998
18 Jan 20260.94042
21 Jan 20260.93947
3 Feb 20260.93998
21 Mar 20260.93947
3 Apr 20260.93998
17 Apr 20260.94055
21 Apr 20260.94051
22 Apr 20260.94093
7 May 20260.9404
10 May 20260.93998
22 May 20260.94042
23 May 20260.93947
5 Jun 20260.93998
15 Jun 20260.99987
11 Aug 20260.9999

116 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.9999Published2021-07-14Public PoC2021-10-02CISA KEV2021-11-03Index as of2026-09-04

Listed by CISA 112 days after it published, exploit probability more than doubled between 2021-07-20 and 2021-07-23 (0.00624 → 0.06701) and the record had been public for 5 years, 1 month when this index was last written.

No material movement in 24 days as of the last ingest this index recorded.

Published 2021-07-14 receipt · Public PoC 2021-10-02 receipt · CISA KEV 2021-11-03 receipt · Index as of 2026-09-04 derived

Siblings and hubs

Records related to this one

Its defect family

microsoft exchange server

Of the 12 records in this family, this is the only one with public proof-of-concept code, and it holds 2 references to it.

Grouped by shared product and weakness, not by shared vulnerability. Each record's own state is on its own page.

Family membership: computed, pro@dim2000

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What usually comes next

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