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CVE-2020-3153

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Cisco AnyConnect Secure Mobility Client for Windows Uncontrolled Search Path Vulnerability

CVE-2020-31534 of 4 sources documented this
64

rank 64 = 40 + 16 + 0 + 2 + 6

rank@v1 · this cycle

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.28307 · CISA KEV listed  ·  without this subject the record ranks 24

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 6.5, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 48

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

no persisting rise in 365 days  ·  without this subject the record ranks 64

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

1 product in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 62

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

CISA remediation date held  ·  without this subject the record ranks 58

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$865,000over the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement-$504,000on 2022-02-04, the last material move, 4 years, 7 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$865,000 = $4.99M incident cost x 0.6121449559255632 exposure x 0.28307 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.28307EPSSKEV · LISTED
Severity6.5 MEDIUMreceipt
Harmpartial impact · ransomware-linkedreceipt
Exploitationransomware use knownreceipt
Defenseunaffected versions publishedreceipt
Movementdoubled within 72hreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2025-10-21, 318 days at 0.28, as of 2026-09-04. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

No weakness class or product neighbourhood is held for this record, so this index cannot name anywhere to check next. That is an absence in the record, not a finding about the software.

Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signal

Sources disagree here.

Scoring standard
CiscoCVSS v3.0receipt
NVDCVSS v3.1receipt

Both shown, dated. We don't pick winners. disagreement-rules@v1

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

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Reachneeds local access · low privileges required · no user interaction · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete integrity loss, with impact beyond the vulnerable componentreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.0 · the CNA's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-427 Uncontrolled Search Path Elementreceipt
Published consequencesCWE-427: Confidentiality, Integrity, Availability: Execute Unauthorized Code or Commands[email protected]
Ransomware campaign useKnown (CISA)receipt

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

First unaffected version, by branchanyconnect secure mobility client 4.8.02042receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.
CISA remediation statusoverdue since 2022-11-14receipt
CISA required actionApply updates per vendor instructions.receipt
Published to CISA KEV978 daysderived

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Ransomware campaign use known, 2022-10-24.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published · 3 public repositories2020-05-04receipt
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed2022-10-24receipt
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known2022-10-24receipt

Authority who says so

CVSS, the CNA6.5 MEDIUMreceipt
CVSS, NVD6.5 MEDIUMreceipt
Exploit probability0.28307 · top 2% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned byciscoreceipt
Recorded changes44 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productCisco AnyConnect Secure Mobility Clientreceipt
Published rangescisco anyconnect secure mobility client < 4.8.02042receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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Attack path

Local accessrequires low privilegesCISA KEV listingadded 10-24 · due 11-14Cisco AnyConnect Secure Mobility Cl…CWE-427 weaknessAdjacent componentsscope changeIntegrity lossI:Hmandates remediationexploits CWE-427scope changedata compromise

What it is stated by the CNA

A vulnerability in the installer component of Cisco AnyConnect Secure Mobility Client for Windows could allow an authenticated local attacker to copy user-supplied files to system level directories with system level privileges. The vulnerability is due to the incorrect handling of directory paths. An attacker could exploit this vulnerability by creating a malicious file and copying the file to a system directory. An exploit could allow the attacker to copy malicious files to arbitrary locations with system level privileges. This could include DLL pre-loading, DLL hijacking, and other related attacks. To exploit this vulnerability, the attacker needs valid credentials on the Windows system. receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
6.5 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:C/C:N/I:H/A:N
weakness
CWE-427
affected versions
cisco anyconnect secure mobility client < 4.8.02042

check it yourself tools.cisco.com seclists.org packetstormsecurity.com packetstormsecurity.com packetstormsecurity.com receipt

Dated events

2021-09-14EPSS moved 0.18 to 0.032022-10-24Added to CISA KEV2022-11-14CISA remediation due2025-03-17EPSS moved 0.00 to 0.412025-11-21EPSS moved 0.18 to 0.28

Movement the material steps

14 Apr 20210.18185
14 Sep 20210.0292 · crossed 0.10
16 Sep 20210.18185 · crossed 0.10
4 Feb 20220.01669 · crossed 0.10
7 Mar 20238.3e-4 · scoring model v2023.03.01
17 Mar 20250.41359 · crossed 0.10 · scoring model v2025.03.14
21 Oct 20250.31012
18 Nov 20250.18499
15 Jun 20260.28307 · scoring model v2026.06.15
28 Aug 20260.28307

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 30 observations
14 Apr 20210.18185
14 Sep 20210.0292
16 Sep 20210.18185
4 Feb 20220.01669
7 Mar 20238.3e-4
8 Mar 20230.00083
17 Dec 20240.00086
17 Mar 20250.41359
19 Mar 20250.36559
20 Mar 20250.42213
24 Mar 20250.41294
27 Mar 20250.35669
28 Mar 20250.41294
29 Mar 20250.3869
30 Mar 20250.41294
10 May 20250.43482
23 Jul 20250.44074
5 Aug 20250.42071
27 Aug 20250.44661
8 Sep 20250.47748
19 Sep 20250.43328
21 Oct 20250.31012
28 Oct 20250.29877
2 Nov 20250.28348
18 Nov 20250.18499
21 Nov 20250.28348
11 Dec 20250.25087
15 Jun 20260.28307
24 Jul 20260.27451
28 Aug 20260.28307

30 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.28307Published2020-02-19Public PoC2020-05-04CISA KEV2022-10-24Index as of2026-09-04

Listed by CISA 978 days after it published, exploit probability more than doubled between 2021-09-14 and 2021-09-16 (0.0292 → 0.18185) and the record had been public for 6 years, 6 months when this index was last written.

Published 2020-02-19 receipt · Public PoC 2020-05-04 receipt · CISA KEV 2022-10-24 receipt · Index as of 2026-09-04 derived

Siblings and hubs

Records related to this one

Its defect family

cisco anyconnect secure mobility client

Of the 3 records in this family, this is the only one holding a CISA KEV listing: Cisco AnyConnect Secure Mobility Client for Windows Uncontro.

Grouped by shared product and weakness, not by shared vulnerability. Each record's own state is on its own page.

Family membership: held values

This record is one of a group, and the group's page describes all of them. This page is kept and dated, and the defect family's own page is the one we offer for indexing: the whole group.

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