vciy

CVE-2025-24200

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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An authorization issue was addressed with improved state management

CVE-2025-242004 of 4 sources documented this
69

rank 69 = 40 + 15 + 1 + 7 + 6

rank@v1 · this cycle

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.04457 · CISA KEV listed  ·  without this subject the record ranks 29

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 6.1, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 54

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

rose on 2025-12-19  ·  without this subject the record ranks 68

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

7 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 62

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

CISA remediation date held  ·  without this subject the record ranks 63

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$196,000over the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement-$923,000on 2025-11-21, the last material move, 9 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$196,000 = $4.99M incident cost x 0.8814887365328109 exposure x 0.04457 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.04457EPSSKEV · LISTED
Severity6.1 MEDIUMreceipt
Harmpartial impactreceipt
Exploitationin the wild · KEVreceipt
Defensefix version namedreceipt
Movementdoubled within 72hreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2026-06-15, 82 days at 0.04, as of 2026-09-05. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

Fortinet FortiOS,CVE-2021-40655Ivanti MobileIronQNAP NAS devicesjfrog artifactoryAgile PLM24200

This record is one instance of CWE-863, incorrect authorization. The index holds 4014 prior instances of this class, 20 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. taxonomy@v1

Full pattern panel

Prior records in this weakness class. Each is its own record, dated and receipted.
Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signalspoke length is how much of the record matches, not how bad it is

Running Apple iOS and iPadOS? Check your version

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

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Reachneeds physical access · no privileges required · no user interaction · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality and integrity lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · NVD's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-863 Incorrect Authorizationreceipt
Published consequencesCWE-863: Confidentiality: Read Application Data, Read Files or Directories; Integrity: Modify Application Data, Modify Files or Directories…[email protected]
Ransomware campaign useUnknown to CISAreceipt

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed in15.8.4; 16.7.11; 18.3.1; 17.7.5receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.
CISA remediation statusoverdue since 2025-03-05receipt
CISA required actionApply mitigations per vendor instructions or discontinue use of the product if mitigations are unavailable.receipt
Published to CISA KEV2 daysderived

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed, 2025-02-12.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed2025-02-12receipt
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, NVD6.1 MEDIUMreceipt
Exploit probability0.04457 · top 9% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth2 products across 1 vendorderived
Assigned byapplereceipt
Recorded changes97 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productApple iOS and iPadOS; Apple iPadOSreceipt
Published rangesapple ipados < 15.8.4; apple ipados >= 16.0 < 16.7.11; apple ipados >= 17.0 <= 17.7.5; apple ipados >= 18.0 < 18.3.1receipt
Show all 7 published ranges
apple ipados < 15.8.4
apple ipados >= 16.0 < 16.7.11
apple ipados >= 17.0 <= 17.7.5
apple ipados >= 18.0 < 18.3.1
apple iphone os < 15.8.4
apple iphone os >= 16.0 < 16.7.11
apple iphone os >= 17.0 < 18.3.1
Fixed in15.8.4; 16.7.11; 18.3.1; 17.7.5receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

An authorization issue was addressed with improved state management. This issue is fixed in iOS 15.8.4 and iPadOS 15.8.4, iOS 16.7.11 and iPadOS 16.7.11, iOS 18.3.1 and iPadOS 18.3.1, iPadOS 17.7.5. A physical attack may disable USB Restricted Mode on a locked device. Apple is aware of a report that this issue may have been exploited in an extremely sophisticated attack against specific targeted individuals. receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
6.1 CVSS:3.1/AV:P/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:N
weakness
CWE-863
affected versions
apple ipados < 15.8.4; apple ipados >= 16.0 < 16.7.11; apple ipados >= 17.0 <= 17.7.5; and 4 more, listed in full below
also scored by
6.1 CVSS:3.1/AV:P/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:N

check it yourself support.apple.com support.apple.com support.apple.com support.apple.com receipt

Dated events

2025-02-12Added to CISA KEV2025-03-05CISA remediation due2025-03-17EPSS moved 0.00 to 0.182026-06-15EPSS moved 0.48 to 0.05

Movement the material steps

11 Feb 20250.00043
17 Mar 20250.17678 · crossed 0.10 · scoring model v2025.03.14
20 Mar 20250.09396 · crossed 0.10
23 Mar 20250.25541 · crossed 0.10
27 Mar 20250.40108
28 Mar 20250.19886
28 Apr 20250.30612
16 Jun 20250.42118
31 Jul 20250.52135 · crossed 0.50
20 Aug 20250.49119 · crossed 0.50
24 Aug 20250.52135 · crossed 0.50
27 Aug 20250.48756 · crossed 0.50
28 Aug 20250.51994 · crossed 0.50
16 Sep 20250.35813 · crossed 0.50
18 Nov 20250.58591 · crossed 0.50
21 Nov 20250.37606 · crossed 0.50
20 Dec 20250.47639
15 Jun 20260.04906 · crossed 0.10 · scoring model v2026.06.15
5 Sep 20260.04457

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 86 observations
11 Feb 20250.00043
13 Feb 20250.04506
14 Feb 20250.01040
12 Mar 20250.00382
15 Mar 20250.00230
17 Mar 20250.17678
19 Mar 20250.19886
20 Mar 20250.09396
23 Mar 20250.25541
24 Mar 20250.19886
27 Mar 20250.40108
28 Mar 20250.19886
29 Mar 20250.25541
30 Mar 20250.19886
1 Apr 20250.16155
2 Apr 20250.18543
3 Apr 20250.21899
4 Apr 20250.25408
7 Apr 20250.28308
9 Apr 20250.24342
15 Apr 20250.27052
16 Apr 20250.24342
19 Apr 20250.25101
28 Apr 20250.30612
30 Apr 20250.30283
15 May 20250.31517
23 May 20250.31182
4 Jun 20250.37184
12 Jun 20250.3743
15 Jun 20250.33149
16 Jun 20250.42118
21 Jun 20250.40379
22 Jun 20250.44842
25 Jun 20250.43381
26 Jun 20250.4011
2 Jul 20250.39547
4 Jul 20250.42439
9 Jul 20250.37604
10 Jul 20250.37248
16 Jul 20250.37604
23 Jul 20250.37248
31 Jul 20250.52135
16 Aug 20250.50009
19 Aug 20250.52491
20 Aug 20250.49119
21 Aug 20250.48756
24 Aug 20250.52135
27 Aug 20250.48756
28 Aug 20250.51994
16 Sep 20250.35813
17 Sep 20250.38272
20 Sep 20250.35089
4 Oct 20250.3474
24 Oct 20250.36974
5 Nov 20250.37241
6 Nov 20250.3444
14 Nov 20250.37606
18 Nov 20250.58591
21 Nov 20250.37606
18 Dec 20250.41099
19 Dec 20250.47274
20 Dec 20250.47639
22 Dec 20250.44355
2 Jan 20260.41076
3 Jan 20260.43982
6 Jan 20260.43616
23 Jan 20260.43982
24 Jan 20260.4149
5 Feb 20260.41126
6 Feb 20260.40713
18 Feb 20260.41076
26 Feb 20260.40713
21 Mar 20260.4211
25 Mar 20260.4387
26 Mar 20260.44235
3 Apr 20260.47875
8 Apr 20260.47285
1 May 20260.48158
11 May 20260.45667
12 May 20260.43532
22 May 20260.44124
26 May 20260.46894
28 May 20260.4843
15 Jun 20260.04906
9 Jul 20260.04371
5 Sep 20260.04457

86 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.04457Published2025-02-10CISA KEV2025-02-12Index as of2026-09-05

Listed by CISA 2 days after it published, exploit probability more than doubled between 2025-02-11 and 2025-02-13 (0.00043 → 0.04506) and the record had been public for 1 year, 6 months when this index was last written.

Published 2025-02-10 receipt · CISA KEV 2025-02-12 receipt · Index as of 2026-09-05 derived

The pattern, elsewhere

This record is one instance of CWE-863, incorrect authorization. The index holds 4014 prior instances of this class, 20 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. [email protected]

CVE-2018-13382 · Fortinet FortiOS, FortiProxymatches 7 of 9KEV listed · 2019receipt
CVE-2021-40655matches 6 of 8KEV listed · 2021receipt
CVE-2023-38035 · Ivanti MobileIron Sentrymatches 6 of 9KEV listed · 2023receipt
CVE-2019-7192 · QNAP NAS devices running Photo Stationmatches 6 of 9KEV listed · 2019receipt
CVE-2026-42016 · jfrog artifactorymatches 6 of 9KEV listed · 2026receipt
CVE-2024-21287 · Oracle Agile PLM Frameworkmatches 6 of 9KEV listed · 2024receipt

"Matches n of m" counts the attributes the two records can both be compared on: the CVSS metrics they share a version of, any weakness class beyond this one, and the vendor. fit-rules@v1

4014 records in this class held. The six above are drawn from the ones CISA has listed as exploited, ranked by how much of the record matches this one. That is why every one of them is KEV-listed: the pool is, so the colour on those spokes says nothing the pool has not already said.

No curated product neighbourhood is held for this product, so the records above are the nearest this index can name. The neighbourhood table covers a small set of products and is extended by hand.

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