vciy

CVE-2024-43491

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Microsoft Windows Update Remote Code Execution Vulnerability

CVE-2024-434914 of 4 sources documented this
33

rank 33 = 3 + 25 + 1 + 4 + 0

rank@v1 · scheduled

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.12380  ·  without this subject the record ranks 30

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 9.8, from the CNA  ·  without this subject the record ranks 8

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

rose on 2025-10-19  ·  without this subject the record ranks 32

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

2 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 29

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

no CISA due date  ·  without this subject the record ranks 33

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$618,000over the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement+$126,000on 2025-05-27, the last material move, 1 year, 3 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$618,000 = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.1238 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.1238EPSSNOT IN KEVas of 2026-09-20
Severity9.8 CRITICALreceipt
Harmtotal loss · unauthenticatedreceipt
Exploitationnone in held sources
Defensefix version namedreceipt
Movementdoubled within 72hreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2025-10-20, 315 days at 0.12, as of 2026-08-31. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

Microsoft WindowsMozilla FirefoxVMware ESXiCVE-2013-2551Microsoft WindowsPulse Connect43491

This record is one instance of CWE-416, use after free. The index holds 8701 prior instances of this class, 106 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. taxonomy@v1

Full pattern panel

Prior records in this weakness class. Each is its own record, dated and receipted.
Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signalspoke length is how much of the record matches, not how bad it is

Running Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1507? Check your version

A deterministic range check against the ranges this record publishes. It tells you where a version sits in the record, not whether your deployment is exploitable. No account needed.

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

Written for the ticket you're about to file.

Reachnetwork-reachable · no privileges required · no user interaction · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · the CNA's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-416 Use After Freereceipt
Published consequencesCWE-416: Integrity: Modify Memory; Availability: DoS: Crash, Exit, or Restart; Confidentiality: Read Memory; Integrity, Confidentiality, Availability: Execute Unauthorized Code or Commands[email protected]

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed in10.0.10240.20766receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Nothing observed in held sources.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, the CNA9.8 CRITICALreceipt
Exploit probability0.1238 · top 4% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymicrosoftreceipt
Recorded changes36 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productMicrosoft Windows 10 Version 1507receipt
Published rangesmicrosoft windows 10 1507 < 10.0.10240.20766; microsoft windows 10 1507 <= 10.0.10240.20766receipt
Fixed in10.0.10240.20766receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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Attack path

Unauthenticated network requestno credentials, no interactionMicrosoft Windows 10 Version 1507CWE-416 use after freeFull compromise (C/I/A)C:H / I:H / A:Hexploits CWE-416data compromise

What it is stated by the CNA

Microsoft is aware of a vulnerability in Servicing Stack that has rolled back the fixes for some vulnerabilities affecting Optional Components on Windows 10, version 1507 (initial version released July 2015). This means that an attacker could exploit these previously mitigated vulnerabilities on Windows 10, version 1507 (Windows 10 Enterprise 2015 LTSB and Windows 10 IoT Enterprise 2015 LTSB) systems that have installed the Windows security update released on March 12, 2024—KB5035858 (OS Build 10240.20526) or other updates released until August 2024. receipt

Read the rest of the CNA's description

All later versions of Windows 10 are not impacted by this vulnerability. This servicing stack vulnerability is addressed by installing the September 2024 Servicing stack update (SSU KB5043936) AND the September 2024 Windows security update (KB5043083), in that order. Note: Windows 10, version 1507 reached the end of support (EOS) on May 9, 2017 for devices running the Pro, Home, Enterprise, Education, and Enterprise IoT editions. Only Windows 10 Enterprise 2015 LTSB and Windows 10 IoT Enterprise 2015 LTSB editions are still under support.

NVD's analysis a second authority

weakness
CWE-416
affected versions
microsoft windows 10 1507 < 10.0.10240.20766; microsoft windows 10 1507 <= 10.0.10240.20766
also scored by
[email protected] 9.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

check it yourself msrc.microsoft.com receipt

Dated events

2025-03-17EPSS moved 0.00 to 0.082025-03-19EPSS moved 0.08 to 0.202026-06-15EPSS moved 0.18 to 0.10

Movement the material steps

11 Sep 20240.00712
17 Mar 20250.08317 · scoring model v2025.03.14
19 Mar 20250.20225 · crossed 0.10
20 Mar 20250.09217 · crossed 0.10
27 Mar 20250.20225 · crossed 0.10
28 Mar 20250.09217 · crossed 0.10
29 Mar 20250.20225 · crossed 0.10
30 Mar 20250.09217 · crossed 0.10
6 Apr 20250.10247 · crossed 0.10
15 Apr 20250.07565 · crossed 0.10
27 May 20250.11954 · crossed 0.10
19 Oct 20250.25717
15 Jun 20260.10399 · scoring model v2026.06.15
31 Aug 20260.1238

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 36 observations
11 Sep 20240.00712
12 Sep 20240.02321
26 Sep 20240.00143
13 Oct 20240.00114
23 Nov 20240.00162
18 Dec 20240.00101
13 Feb 20250.00133
17 Mar 20250.08317
19 Mar 20250.20225
20 Mar 20250.09217
27 Mar 20250.20225
28 Mar 20250.09217
29 Mar 20250.20225
30 Mar 20250.09217
6 Apr 20250.10247
15 Apr 20250.07565
16 May 20250.09427
27 May 20250.11954
6 Jun 20250.12392
27 Jun 20250.13371
7 Jul 20250.15477
14 Sep 20250.19219
16 Sep 20250.21756
19 Oct 20250.25717
20 Oct 20250.20136
18 Nov 20250.20485
21 Nov 20250.20136
30 Jan 20260.16617
2 Feb 20260.16732
12 Feb 20260.15978
26 Mar 20260.15866
1 May 20260.18179
15 Jun 20260.10399
17 Jun 20260.12132
24 Jul 20260.12282
31 Aug 20260.1238

36 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.1238Published2024-09-10Index as of2026-08-31

Exploit probability more than doubled between 2024-09-11 and 2024-09-12 (0.00712 → 0.02321) and the record had been public for 1 year, 11 months when this index was last written.

Published 2024-09-10 receipt · Index as of 2026-08-31 derived

The pattern, elsewhere

This record is one instance of CWE-416, use after free. The index holds 8701 prior instances of this class, 106 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. [email protected]

CVE-2019-0708 · Microsoft Windowsmatches 9 of 9KEV listed · 2019receipt
CVE-2024-9680 · Mozilla Firefoxmatches 8 of 9KEV listed · 2024receipt
CVE-2020-3992 · VMware ESXimatches 8 of 9KEV listed · 2020receipt
CVE-2013-2551matches 7 of 8KEV listed · 2013receipt
CVE-2025-29824 · Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1507matches 7 of 9KEV listed · 2025receipt
CVE-2021-22893 · Pulse Connect Securematches 7 of 9KEV listed · 2021receipt

"Matches n of m" counts the attributes the two records can both be compared on: the CVSS metrics they share a version of, any weakness class beyond this one, and the vendor. fit-rules@v1

8701 records in this class held. The six above are drawn from the ones CISA has listed as exploited, ranked by how much of the record matches this one. That is why every one of them is KEV-listed: the pool is, so the colour on those spokes says nothing the pool has not already said.

No curated product neighbourhood is held for this product, so the records above are the nearest this index can name. The neighbourhood table covers a small set of products and is extended by hand.

Siblings and hubs

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These are index-wide views, not findings about CVE-2024-43491.

What usually comes next

Everything above needs no account. What is below is work: assembling it, scoping it to your estate, watching it, and handing it to someone else.

Everything on this page is free. Public data. Withholding it protects nothing.