vciy

CVE-2023-38831

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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RARLAB WinRAR before 6.23 allows attackers to execute arbitrary code when a user attempts to view a benign file within a ZIP archive

CVE-2023-388313 of 4 sources documented this
68

rank 68 = 40 + 20 + 0 + 2 + 6

rank@v1 · this cycle

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.98022 · CISA KEV listed  ·  without this subject the record ranks 28

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 7.8, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 48

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

no persisting rise in 365 days  ·  without this subject the record ranks 68

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

1 product in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 66

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

CISA remediation date held  ·  without this subject the record ranks 62

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$4.89Mover the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement+$376,000on 2025-03-15, the last material move, 1 year, 5 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$4.89M = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.98022 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.98022EPSSKEV · LISTED
Severity7.8 HIGHreceipt
Harmtotal loss · ransomware-linkedreceipt
Exploitationransomware use knownreceipt
Defenseunaffected versions publishedreceipt
Movementdoubled within 72hreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2025-03-17, 546 days at 0.98, as of 2026-09-14. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

No weakness class or product neighbourhood is held for this record, so this index cannot name anywhere to check next. That is an absence in the record, not a finding about the software.

Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signal

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

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Reachneeds local access · no privileges required · user interaction required · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · NVD's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-345 Insufficient Verification of Data Authenticity; CWE-351 Insufficient Type Distinctionreceipt
Published consequencesCWE-345: Integrity, Other: Varies by Context, Unexpected State[email protected]
Ransomware campaign useKnown (CISA)receipt

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

First unaffected version, by branchwinrar 6.23receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.
CISA remediation statusoverdue since 2023-09-14receipt
CISA required actionApply mitigations per vendor instructions or discontinue use of the product if mitigations are unavailable.receipt
Published to CISA KEV1 dayderived

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Ransomware campaign use known, 2023-08-24.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published · 58 public repositories2023-08-24receipt
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed2023-08-24receipt
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known2023-08-24receipt

Authority who says so

CVSS, NVD7.8 HIGHreceipt
Exploit probability0.98022 · top 0.09% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymitrereceipt
Recorded changes129 · last 14 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Named in the CPE rangesRarlab winrarreceipt
Published rangesrarlab winrar < 6.23receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

RARLAB WinRAR before 6.23 allows attackers to execute arbitrary code when a user attempts to view a benign file within a ZIP archive. The issue occurs because a ZIP archive may include a benign file (such as an ordinary .JPG file) and also a folder that has the same name as the benign file, and the contents of the folder (which may include executable content) are processed during an attempt to access only the benign file. This was exploited in the wild in April through October 2023. receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
7.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
weakness
CWE-345; CWE-351
affected versions
rarlab winrar < 6.23
also scored by
7.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

check it yourself group-ib.com bleepingcomputer.com news.ycombinator.com packetstormsecurity.com blog.google receipt

Dated events

2023-08-24Added to CISA KEV2023-09-08EPSS moved 0.00 to 0.252023-09-14CISA remediation due2025-03-17EPSS moved 0.57 to 0.94

Movement the material steps

24 Aug 20230.00046
8 Sep 20230.24503 · crossed 0.10
31 Mar 20240.40418
28 Jun 20240.21361
24 Sep 20240.40847
20 Jan 20250.50983 · crossed 0.50
2 Feb 20250.48314 · crossed 0.50
15 Mar 20250.56920 · crossed 0.50
17 Mar 20250.93562 · crossed 0.90 · scoring model v2025.03.14
15 Jun 20260.97798 · scoring model v2026.06.15
14 Sep 20260.98022

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 115 observations
24 Aug 20230.00046
25 Aug 20230.00677
30 Aug 20230.00384
8 Sep 20230.24503
18 Sep 20230.23875
19 Oct 20230.23404
2 Jan 20240.28864
26 Jan 20240.26605
3 Feb 20240.27204
13 Feb 20240.33602
28 Feb 20240.34487
18 Mar 20240.32618
31 Mar 20240.40418
10 Apr 20240.44373
4 May 20240.35460
13 May 20240.33850
6 Jun 20240.38115
18 Jun 20240.34609
28 Jun 20240.21361
29 Jun 20240.19181
12 Jul 20240.19856
23 Jul 20240.21726
4 Aug 20240.24766
18 Aug 20240.25330
29 Aug 20240.31236
24 Sep 20240.40847
19 Oct 20240.43876
27 Nov 20240.48600
17 Dec 20240.46389
24 Dec 20240.45382
20 Jan 20250.50983
2 Feb 20250.48314
2 Mar 20250.49378
15 Mar 20250.56920
17 Mar 20250.93562
18 Mar 20250.9279
19 Mar 20250.93562
15 Apr 20250.9373
16 Apr 20250.93671
17 Apr 20250.9373
1 May 20250.93671
2 May 20250.93654
6 May 20250.93714
15 May 20250.93902
17 May 20250.9373
1 Jun 20250.93671
4 Jun 20250.93654
6 Jun 20250.93714
15 Jun 20250.93648
24 Jun 20250.9363
25 Jun 20250.93648
1 Jul 20250.93583
4 Jul 20250.93648
7 Jul 20250.9363
15 Jul 20250.93714
16 Jul 20250.93902
18 Jul 20250.93714
22 Jul 20250.9373
1 Aug 20250.93671
5 Aug 20250.93654
7 Aug 20250.93714
16 Aug 20250.93967
18 Aug 20250.93811
19 Aug 20250.93664
20 Aug 20250.93576
26 Aug 20250.93554
1 Sep 20250.93658
5 Sep 20250.93702
10 Sep 20250.93805
12 Sep 20250.93873
16 Sep 20250.9374
1 Oct 20250.93681
2 Oct 20250.93664
4 Oct 20250.93799
17 Oct 20250.93969
19 Oct 20250.93814
1 Nov 20250.9376
4 Nov 20250.93814
6 Nov 20250.93799
13 Nov 20250.93814
18 Nov 20250.93581
20 Nov 20250.93814
21 Nov 20250.93969
23 Nov 20250.93814
1 Dec 20250.9376
4 Dec 20250.93814
5 Dec 20250.93612
11 Dec 20250.93594
18 Dec 20250.93612
26 Dec 20250.93594
1 Jan 20260.93525
3 Jan 20260.93793
4 Jan 20260.93845
18 Jan 20260.93858
1 Feb 20260.93808
4 Feb 20260.93858
5 Feb 20260.93845
18 Feb 20260.93858
23 Feb 20260.93845
1 Mar 20260.93793
3 Mar 20260.93708
4 Mar 20260.93765
21 Mar 20260.9378
3 Apr 20260.93865
21 Apr 20260.93878
8 May 20260.93865
14 May 20260.93954
17 May 20260.93878
25 May 20260.93664
1 Jun 20260.93878
9 Jun 20260.93865
15 Jun 20260.97798
24 Jul 20260.97811
28 Aug 20260.97894
14 Sep 20260.98022

115 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.98022Published2023-08-23Public PoC · CISA KEV2023-08-24Index as of2026-09-14

Listed by CISA one day after it published, exploit probability more than doubled between 2023-08-24 and 2023-08-25 (0.00046 → 0.00677) and the record had been public for 3 years when this index was last written.

Published 2023-08-23 receipt · Public PoC 2023-08-24 receipt · CISA KEV 2023-08-24 receipt · Index as of 2026-09-14 derived

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