vciy

CVE-2023-21758

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Windows Internet Key Exchange (IKE) Extension Denial of Service Vulnerability

CVE-2023-217584 of 4 sources documented this
49

rank 49 = 23 + 19 + 0 + 7 + 0

rank@v1 · this cycle

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.92529  ·  without this subject the record ranks 26

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 7.5, from the CNA  ·  without this subject the record ranks 30

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

no persisting rise in 365 days  ·  without this subject the record ranks 49

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

7 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 42

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

no CISA due date  ·  without this subject the record ranks 49

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$2.83Mover the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement-$189,000on 2026-06-07, the last material move, 1 month before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$2.83M = $4.99M incident cost x 0.6121449559255632 exposure x 0.92529 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.92529EPSSNOT IN KEVas of 2026-09-20
Severity7.5 HIGHreceipt
Harmunauthenticated · networkreceipt
Exploitationnone in held sources
Defensefix version namedreceipt
Movementdoubled within 72hreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2026-06-15, 48 days at 0.93, as of 2026-08-02. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

No weakness class or product neighbourhood is held for this record, so this index cannot name anywhere to check next. That is an absence in the record, not a finding about the software.

Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signal

Running Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1809? Check your version

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

Written for the ticket you're about to file.

Reachnetwork-reachable · no privileges required · no user interaction · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · the CNA's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-476 NULL Pointer Dereferencereceipt
Published consequencesCWE-476: Availability: DoS: Crash, Exit, or Restart; Integrity, Confidentiality: Execute Unauthorized Code or Commands, Read Memory, Modify Memory[email protected]

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed in10.0.17763.3887; 10.0.20348.1487; 10.0.19042.2486; 10.0.22000.1455; 10.0.19044.2486; 10.0.22621.1105; 10.0.19045.2486; 10.0.10240.19685; 10.0.14393.5648receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Nothing observed in held sources.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, the CNA7.5 HIGHreceipt
Exploit probability0.92529 · top 0.18% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymicrosoftreceipt
Recorded changes46 · last 18 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productMicrosoft Windows 10 Version 1809; Microsoft Windows Server 2019; Microsoft Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation); Microsoft Windows Server 2022; Microsoft Windows 10 Version 20H2…receipt
Published rangesmicrosoft windows 10 20h2; microsoft windows 10 21h2; microsoft windows 10 22h2; microsoft windows 10 1607receipt
Show all 7 published ranges
microsoft windows 10 20h2
microsoft windows 10 21h2
microsoft windows 10 22h2
microsoft windows 10 1607
microsoft windows 10 1809
microsoft windows 11 21h2
microsoft windows 11 22h2
Fixed in10.0.17763.3887; 10.0.20348.1487; 10.0.19042.2486; 10.0.22000.1455; 10.0.19044.2486; 10.0.22621.1105; 10.0.19045.2486; 10.0.10240.19685; 10.0.14393.5648receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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Attack path

Unauthenticated network requestno credentials, no interactionMicrosoft Windows Server 2019CWE-476 NULL pointer dereferenceAvailability lossA:Hexploits CWE-476data compromise

What it is stated by the CNA

Windows Internet Key Exchange (IKE) Extension Denial of Service Vulnerability receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

weakness
CWE-476
affected versions
microsoft windows 10 20h2; microsoft windows 10 21h2; microsoft windows 10 22h2; and 4 more, listed in full below
also scored by
[email protected] 7.5 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:N/I:N/A:H

check it yourself msrc.microsoft.com receipt

Dated events

2025-03-17EPSS moved 0.00 to 0.512026-06-15EPSS moved 0.43 to 0.93

Movement the material steps

11 Jan 20230.00885
7 Mar 20236.4e-4 · scoring model v2023.03.01
17 Mar 20250.50964 · crossed 0.10 and 0.50 · scoring model v2025.03.14
19 Mar 20250.48762 · crossed 0.50
25 Mar 20250.55168 · crossed 0.50
29 Mar 20250.48054 · crossed 0.50
30 Mar 20250.55168 · crossed 0.50
18 Nov 20250.25939 · crossed 0.50
21 Nov 20250.52964 · crossed 0.50
1 Apr 20260.46494 · crossed 0.50
31 May 20260.51686 · crossed 0.50
7 Jun 20260.45497 · crossed 0.50
15 Jun 20260.92529 · crossed 0.50 and 0.90 · scoring model v2026.06.15
2 Aug 20260.92529

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 46 observations
11 Jan 20230.00885
19 Jan 20230.02251
7 Mar 20236.4e-4
8 Mar 20230.00064
17 Mar 20230.00083
25 Mar 20230.00085
1 Apr 20230.00091
19 Apr 20230.00106
8 May 20230.00142
22 May 20230.00190
30 May 20230.00178
15 Jun 20230.00190
3 Jul 20230.00134
8 Jul 20230.00106
6 Aug 20230.00076
19 Aug 20230.00067
14 Oct 20230.00069
6 Nov 20230.00067
11 Dec 20230.00080
17 Jan 20240.00116
29 Apr 20240.00147
26 May 20240.00209
29 May 20240.00683
22 Jun 20240.00764
5 Jul 20240.00402
2 Aug 20240.00389
12 Nov 20240.00548
9 Dec 20240.00777
17 Dec 20240.00259
17 Mar 20250.50964
19 Mar 20250.48762
25 Mar 20250.55168
29 Mar 20250.48054
30 Mar 20250.55168
21 Aug 20250.5161
6 Nov 20250.52964
18 Nov 20250.25939
21 Nov 20250.52964
1 Apr 20260.46494
4 Apr 20260.4968
31 May 20260.51686
7 Jun 20260.45497
9 Jun 20260.4276
15 Jun 20260.92529
28 Jun 20260.91597
2 Aug 20260.92529

46 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.92529Published2023-01-10Index as of2026-08-02

Exploit probability more than doubled between 2024-05-26 and 2024-05-29 (0.00209 → 0.00683) and the record had been public for 3 years, 6 months when this index was last written.

Published 2023-01-10 receipt · Index as of 2026-08-02 derived

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