vciy

CVE-2022-21882

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Win32k Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability

CVE-2022-218824 of 4 sources documented this
75

rank 75 = 40 + 20 + 1 + 8 + 6

rank@v1 · act now

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.59205 · CISA KEV listed  ·  without this subject the record ranks 35

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 7.8, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 55

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

rose on 2026-09-06  ·  without this subject the record ranks 74

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

9 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 67

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

CISA remediation date held  ·  without this subject the record ranks 69

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$2.95Mover the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement-$89,000on 2026-04-30, the last material move, 4 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$2.95M = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.59205 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.59205EPSSKEV · LISTED
Severity7 HIGHreceipt
Harmtotal loss · ransomware-linkedreceipt
Exploitationransomware use knownreceipt
Defensefix version namedreceipt
Movementdoubled within 72hreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2026-06-15, 83 days at 0.59, as of 2026-09-06. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

Microsoft WindowsMicrosoft Windows21882

This record is one instance of CWE-787, out-of-bounds write. The index holds 14892 prior instances of this class, 163 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. taxonomy@v1

Full pattern panel

Prior records in this weakness class. Each is its own record, dated and receipted.
Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signalspoke length is how much of the record matches, not how bad it is

Sources disagree here.

Severity score
Microsoft7 HIGHreceipt
NVD7.8 HIGHreceipt

Both shown, dated. We don't pick winners. disagreement-rules@v1

Running Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1809? Check your version

A deterministic range check against the ranges this record publishes. It tells you where a version sits in the record, not whether your deployment is exploitable. No account needed.

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

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Reachneeds local access · low privileges required · no user interaction · high attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · the CNA's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-787 Out-of-bounds Writereceipt
Published consequencesCWE-787: Integrity: Modify Memory, Execute Unauthorized Code or Commands; Availability: DoS: Crash, Exit, or Restart; Other: Unexpected State[email protected]
Ransomware campaign useKnown (CISA)receipt

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed in10.0.17763.2452; 10.0.18363.2037; 10.0.19043.1466; 10.0.20348.469; 10.0.19042.1466; 10.0.22000.434; 10.0.19044.1466receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.
CISA remediation statusoverdue since 2022-02-18receipt
CISA required actionApply updates per vendor instructions.receipt
Published to CISA KEV24 daysderived

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Ransomware campaign use known, 2022-02-04.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published · 5 public repositories2022-01-27receipt
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed2022-02-04receipt
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known2022-02-04receipt

Authority who says so

CVSS, the CNA7 HIGHreceipt
CVSS, NVD7.8 HIGHreceipt
Exploit probability0.59205 · top 0.93% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth3 products across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymicrosoftreceipt
Recorded changes74 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productMicrosoft Windows 10 Version 1809; Microsoft Windows Server 2019; Microsoft Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation); Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1909; Microsoft Windows 10 Version 21H1…receipt
Published rangesmicrosoft windows 10 1809 < 10.0.17763.2452; microsoft windows 10 1909 < 10.0.18363.2037; microsoft windows 10 20h2 < 10.0.19042.1466; microsoft windows 10 21h1 < 10.0.19043.1466receipt
Show all 9 published ranges
microsoft windows 10 1809 < 10.0.17763.2452
microsoft windows 10 1909 < 10.0.18363.2037
microsoft windows 10 20h2 < 10.0.19042.1466
microsoft windows 10 21h1 < 10.0.19043.1466
microsoft windows 10 21h2 < 10.0.19044.1466
microsoft windows 11 21h2 < 10.0.22000.434
microsoft windows server 2019 < 10.0.17763.2452
microsoft windows server 2022 < 10.0.20348.469
microsoft windows server 20h2 < 10.0.19042.1466
Fixed in10.0.17763.2452; 10.0.18363.2037; 10.0.19043.1466; 10.0.20348.469; 10.0.19042.1466; 10.0.22000.434; 10.0.19044.1466receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

Win32k Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
7.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
weakness
CWE-787
affected versions
microsoft windows 10 1809 < 10.0.17763.2452; microsoft windows 10 1909 < 10.0.18363.2037; microsoft windows 10 20h2 < 10.0.19042.1466; and 6 more, listed in full below
also scored by
[email protected] 7 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:H/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

The CNA scored it 7 and NVD 7.8. Both are shown because both were published; we do not pick one.

check it yourself msrc.microsoft.com receipt

Dated events

2022-02-04Added to CISA KEV2022-02-18CISA remediation due2023-03-07EPSS moved 0.01 to 0.372025-03-17EPSS moved 0.00 to 0.892026-06-15EPSS moved 0.89 to 0.56

Movement the material steps

8 Feb 20220.01372
7 Mar 20230.373 · crossed 0.10 · scoring model v2023.03.01
5 Apr 20230.24669
1 May 20230.13470
8 May 20230.05847 · crossed 0.10
17 Mar 20250.89101 · crossed 0.10 and 0.50 · scoring model v2025.03.14
18 Nov 20250.90364 · crossed 0.90
21 Nov 20250.8735 · crossed 0.90
27 Mar 20260.90073 · crossed 0.90
21 Apr 20260.88508 · crossed 0.90
25 Apr 20260.90073 · crossed 0.90
30 Apr 20260.8867 · crossed 0.90
15 Jun 20260.55711 · scoring model v2026.06.15
6 Sep 20260.59205

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 60 observations
8 Feb 20220.01372
1 Mar 20220.01405
7 Mar 20230.373
8 Mar 20230.37300
10 Mar 20230.39206
23 Mar 20230.32014
5 Apr 20230.24669
18 Apr 20230.21083
1 May 20230.13470
8 May 20230.05847
15 May 20230.06659
28 May 20230.02866
8 Jul 20230.04038
4 Aug 20230.03500
2 Sep 20230.01799
31 Oct 20230.01481
28 Nov 20230.01247
11 Dec 20230.01098
21 Dec 20230.00137
16 Apr 20240.00113
17 Aug 20240.00110
26 Sep 20240.00133
22 Oct 20240.00110
6 Nov 20240.00223
15 Nov 20240.01582
19 Nov 20240.00220
3 Dec 20240.00444
17 Dec 20240.00148
14 Jan 20250.00520
28 Jan 20250.00159
13 Feb 20250.00687
27 Feb 20250.00161
14 Mar 20250.00217
17 Mar 20250.89101
20 Mar 20250.89293
24 Mar 20250.89101
23 Jul 20250.87193
28 Jul 20250.88132
5 Aug 20250.89796
3 Sep 20250.87892
8 Sep 20250.86652
17 Sep 20250.83893
30 Sep 20250.86652
22 Oct 20250.8735
18 Nov 20250.90364
21 Nov 20250.8735
11 Dec 20250.8724
5 Feb 20260.89428
17 Mar 20260.89138
27 Mar 20260.90073
21 Apr 20260.88508
25 Apr 20260.90073
28 Apr 20260.90454
30 Apr 20260.8867
13 May 20260.89113
29 May 20260.89138
15 Jun 20260.55711
24 Jul 20260.54553
28 Aug 20260.55711
6 Sep 20260.59205

60 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.59205Published2022-01-11Public PoC2022-01-27CISA KEV2022-02-04Index as of2026-09-06

Listed by CISA 24 days after it published, exploit probability more than doubled between 2025-03-14 and 2025-03-17 (0.00217 → 0.89101) and the record had been public for 4 years, 7 months when this index was last written.

Published 2022-01-11 receipt · Public PoC 2022-01-27 receipt · CISA KEV 2022-02-04 receipt · Index as of 2026-09-06 derived

The pattern, elsewhere

This record is one instance of CWE-787, out-of-bounds write. The index holds 14892 prior instances of this class, 163 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. [email protected]

CVE-2024-30051 · Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1809matches 8 of 9KEV listed · 2024receipt
CVE-2023-23376 · Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1507matches 8 of 9KEV listed · 2023receipt
CVE-2023-28252 · Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1809matches 8 of 9KEV listed · 2023receipt
CVE-2022-24521 · Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1809matches 8 of 9KEV listed · 2022receipt
CVE-2022-37969 · Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1809matches 8 of 9KEV listed · 2022receipt
CVE-2022-41073 · Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1507matches 8 of 9KEV listed · 2022receipt

"Matches n of m" counts the attributes the two records can both be compared on: the CVSS metrics they share a version of, any weakness class beyond this one, and the vendor. fit-rules@v1

14892 records in this class held. The six above are drawn from the ones CISA has listed as exploited, ranked by how much of the record matches this one. That is why every one of them is KEV-listed: the pool is, so the colour on those spokes says nothing the pool has not already said.

No curated product neighbourhood is held for this product, so the records above are the nearest this index can name. The neighbourhood table covers a small set of products and is extended by hand.

Siblings and hubs

Records related to this one

Its defect family

microsoft windows 10 version 1809

Of the 10 records in this family, this is the only one holding a CISA KEV listing: Microsoft Win32k Privilege Escalation Vulnerability.

Grouped by shared product and weakness, not by shared vulnerability. Each record's own state is on its own page.

Family membership: held values

This record is one of a group, and the group's page describes all of them. This page is kept and dated, and the defect family's own page is the one we offer for indexing: the whole group.

Browse the index from here

These are index-wide views, not findings about CVE-2022-21882.

What usually comes next

Everything above needs no account. What is below is work: assembling it, scoping it to your estate, watching it, and handing it to someone else.

Everything on this page is free. Public data. Withholding it protects nothing.