vciy

CVE-2021-45105

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Apache Log4j2 does not always protect from infinite recursion in lookup evaluation

CVE-2021-451054 of 4 sources documented this
56

rank 56 = 30 + 15 + 1 + 10 + 0

rank@v1 · this cycle

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.99999  ·  without this subject the record ranks 26

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 5.9, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 41

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

rose on 2025-07-22  ·  without this subject the record ranks 55

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

20 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 46

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

no CISA due date  ·  without this subject the record ranks 56

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$3.05Mover the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement-$753,000on 2025-11-21, the last material move, 6 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$3.05M = $4.99M incident cost x 0.6121449559255632 exposure x 0.99999 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.99999EPSSNOT IN KEVas of 2026-09-20
Severity5.9 MEDIUMreceipt
Harmunauthenticated · networkreceipt
Exploitationpublic proof-of-conceptreceipt
Defensefix version namedreceipt
Movementthreshold crossedreceipt
RISING10Risen from 0.07038 to 0.99999 across 99 observations. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

Struts OGNLSpring ELFreemarkerVelocityThymeleaflogback45105

log4j2 is one instance of CWE-20, improper input validation. The index holds 13347 prior instances of this class, 73 KEV-listed. 6 neighbors share the mechanism; each carries its own record state. taxonomy@v1

Full pattern panel

Listed for shared mechanism, not known vulnerability.
Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signal

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

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Reachnetwork-reachable · no privileges required · no user interaction · high attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · NVD's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-20 Improper Input Validation; CWE-674 Uncontrolled Recursionreceipt
Published consequencesCWE-20: Availability: DoS: Crash, Exit, or Restart, DoS: Resource Consumption (CPU), DoS: Resource Consumption (Memory); Confidentiality: Read Memory, Read Files or Directories…[email protected]

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed in2.17.0; 2.12.3; 2.3.1receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Proof-of-concept published · 9 public repositories, 2021-12-18.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published · 9 public repositories2021-12-18receipt
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, NVD5.9 MEDIUMreceipt
Exploit probability0.99999 · top 0.01% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth16 products across 4 vendorsderived
Assigned byapachereceipt
Recorded changes102 · last 15 Aug 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productApache Software Foundation Apache Log4j2receipt
Published rangesapache log4j >= 2.0 < 2.3.1; apache log4j >= 2.4 < 2.12.3; apache log4j >= 2.13.0 <= 2.16.0; debian linux 10.0receipt
Show all 20 published ranges
apache log4j >= 2.0 < 2.3.1
apache log4j >= 2.4 < 2.12.3
apache log4j >= 2.13.0 <= 2.16.0
debian linux 10.0
debian linux 11.0
sonicwall email security <= 10.0.12
sonicwall network security manager >= 2.0 < 3.0
sonicwall web application firewall >= 3.0.0 < 3.1.0
sonicwall 6bk1602-0aa12-0tp0 firmware < 2.7.0
sonicwall 6bk1602-0aa22-0tp0 firmware < 2.7.0
sonicwall 6bk1602-0aa32-0tp0 firmware < 2.7.0
sonicwall 6bk1602-0aa42-0tp0 firmware < 2.7.0
sonicwall 6bk1602-0aa52-0tp0 firmware < 2.7.0
oracle agile engineering data management 6.2.1.0
oracle agile plm mcad connector 3.6
oracle agile product lifecycle management 9.3.6
oracle autovue for agile product lifecycle management 21.0.2
oracle banking deposits and lines of credit servicing 2.12.0
oracle banking enterprise default management 2.7.1
oracle banking enterprise default management 2.12.0
Fixed in2.17.0; 2.12.3; 2.3.1receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

Apache Log4j2 versions 2.0-alpha1 through 2.16.0 (excluding 2.12.3 and 2.3.1) did not protect from uncontrolled recursion from self-referential lookups. This allows an attacker with control over Thread Context Map data to cause a denial of service when a crafted string is interpreted. This issue was fixed in Log4j 2.17.0, 2.12.3, and 2.3.1. receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
5.9 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:H/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:N/I:N/A:H
weakness
CWE-20; CWE-674
affected versions
apache log4j >= 2.0 < 2.3.1; apache log4j >= 2.4 < 2.12.3; apache log4j >= 2.13.0 <= 2.16.0; and 17 more, listed in full below
also scored by
5.9 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:H/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:N/I:N/A:H

check it yourself logging.apache.org psirt.global.sonicwall.com kb.cert.org tools.cisco.com openwall.com debian.org +7 morereceipt

Dated events

2021-12-21EPSS moved 0.07 to 0.202023-03-07EPSS moved 0.44 to 0.972026-06-15EPSS moved 0.74 to 1.00

Movement the material steps

20 Dec 20210.07038
21 Dec 20210.20412 · crossed 0.10
4 Feb 20220.33573
26 Jul 20220.44262
7 Mar 20230.97262 · crossed 0.50 and 0.90 · scoring model v2023.03.01
17 Mar 20250.72183 · crossed 0.90 · scoring model v2025.03.14
15 Apr 20250.60359
18 May 20250.72183
1 Jun 20250.61243
22 Jul 20250.71364
18 Nov 20250.91367 · crossed 0.90
21 Nov 20250.66727 · crossed 0.90
15 Jun 20260.99999 · crossed 0.90 · scoring model v2026.06.15

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 99 observations
20 Dec 20210.07038
21 Dec 20210.20412
22 Dec 20210.23892
27 Dec 20210.28583
29 Dec 20210.2813
4 Feb 20220.33573
26 Jul 20220.44262
7 Mar 20230.97262
7 Apr 20230.97265
8 May 20230.96770
18 May 20230.96834
31 May 20230.96753
13 Jun 20230.96771
11 Jul 20230.96620
26 Jul 20230.96444
9 Aug 20230.96341
4 Nov 20230.96417
17 Nov 20230.96498
3 Dec 20230.96670
1 Jan 20240.95969
28 Jan 20240.96256
25 Feb 20240.96670
8 Apr 20240.96625
12 Jul 20240.96524
24 Jul 20240.96289
2 Sep 20240.95998
17 Dec 20240.95660
21 Dec 20240.95846
3 Feb 20250.95270
6 Mar 20250.95076
17 Mar 20250.72183
19 Mar 20250.72912
20 Mar 20250.66522
27 Mar 20250.67386
28 Mar 20250.66522
29 Mar 20250.67386
30 Mar 20250.66522
2 Apr 20250.65452
15 Apr 20250.60359
17 Apr 20250.69908
22 Apr 20250.65452
1 May 20250.60055
4 May 20250.65452
15 May 20250.64846
18 May 20250.72183
23 May 20250.66522
1 Jun 20250.61243
4 Jun 20250.66522
5 Jun 20250.65452
1 Jul 20250.60055
4 Jul 20250.65452
16 Jul 20250.66522
22 Jul 20250.71364
23 Jul 20250.70431
1 Aug 20250.65644
4 Aug 20250.70431
16 Aug 20250.72106
1 Sep 20250.67558
4 Sep 20250.72106
11 Sep 20250.70431
1 Oct 20250.65104
4 Oct 20250.65662
17 Oct 20250.65059
19 Oct 20250.68222
24 Oct 20250.66727
27 Oct 20250.71364
28 Oct 20250.66727
1 Nov 20250.66182
4 Nov 20250.66727
6 Nov 20250.65662
18 Nov 20250.91367
21 Nov 20250.66727
27 Nov 20250.67576
1 Dec 20250.67042
4 Dec 20250.67576
10 Dec 20250.72106
13 Dec 20250.70431
14 Dec 20250.72106
18 Dec 20250.7042
19 Dec 20250.71364
23 Dec 20250.72988
29 Dec 20250.70431
1 Jan 20260.65644
4 Jan 20260.70431
1 Feb 20260.65644
4 Feb 20260.70431
18 Feb 20260.71364
20 Feb 20260.72668
21 Feb 20260.71364
1 Mar 20260.66709
3 Mar 20260.65644
4 Mar 20260.70431
21 Mar 20260.699
22 Mar 20260.7042
27 Mar 20260.71364
9 Apr 20260.70431
11 May 20260.74536
1 Jun 20260.74016
15 Jun 20260.99999

99 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.99999Published · Public PoC2021-12-18Index as of2026-06-15

Exploit probability more than doubled between 2021-12-20 and 2021-12-21 (0.07038 → 0.20412) and the record had been public for 4 years, 5 months when this index was last written.

Published 2021-12-18 receipt · Public PoC 2021-12-18 receipt · Index as of 2026-06-15 derived

The pattern, elsewhere

log4j2 is one instance of CWE-20, improper input validation. The index holds 13347 prior instances of this class, 73 KEV-listed. 6 neighbors share the mechanism; each carries its own record state. [email protected]

CVE-2017-0148 · Microsoft Corporation Windows SMBmatches 6 of 10KEV listed · 2017receipt
CVE-2022-47966matches 5 of 9KEV listed · 2023receipt
CVE-2022-29499matches 5 of 9KEV listed · 2022receipt
CVE-2021-21985 · VMware vCenter Server and VMware Cloud…matches 5 of 10KEV listed · 2021receipt
CVE-2021-44228 · Apache Log4j2matches 5 of 10KEV listed · 2021receipt
CVE-2018-19949 · QNAP Systems Inc. QTSmatches 5 of 10KEV listed · 2020receipt

13347 records in this class held. The six above are ranked by exploit maturity, then recency.

Apache Struts OGNLexpression evaluation · 8 KEV-listed records
Spring Expression Languageexpression evaluation · 1 KEV-listed record
Freemarkerexpression evaluation · no KEV-listed records
Velocityexpression evaluation · no KEV-listed records
Thymeleafexpression evaluation · no KEV-listed records
logbackjava logging · no KEV-listed records
Listed for shared mechanism, not known vulnerability. Known records for each appear on its own page. taxonomy@v1

Siblings and hubs

Records related to this one

Its defect family

apache software foundation apache log4j2

Of the 3 records in this family, this is the only one with public proof-of-concept code, and it holds 9 references to it.

Grouped by shared product and weakness, not by shared vulnerability. Each record's own state is on its own page.

Family membership: held values

This record is one of a group, and the group's page describes all of them. This page is kept and dated, and the defect family's own page is the one we offer for indexing: the whole group.

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