vciy

CVE-2021-43890

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Windows AppX Installer Spoofing Vulnerability

CVE-2021-438904 of 4 sources documented this
69

rank 69 = 40 + 18 + 1 + 4 + 6

rank@v1 · this cycle

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.10295 · CISA KEV listed  ·  without this subject the record ranks 29

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 7.1, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 51

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

rose on 2026-05-08  ·  without this subject the record ranks 68

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

2 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 65

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

CISA remediation date held  ·  without this subject the record ranks 63

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$514,000over the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement-$1.94Mon 2025-03-30, the last material move, 1 year, 5 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$514,000 = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.10295 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.10295EPSSKEV · LISTED
Severity7.1 HIGHreceipt
Harmtotal loss · ransomware-linkedreceipt
Exploitationransomware use knownreceipt
Defenseunaffected versions publishedreceipt
Movementscoring model changedreceipt
RISING10Risen from 0.00416 to 0.10295 across 37 observations. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

No weakness class or product neighbourhood is held for this record, so this index cannot name anywhere to check next. That is an absence in the record, not a finding about the software.

Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signal

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

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Reachnetwork-reachable · low privileges required · user interaction required · high attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · the CNA's vectorreceipt
Weakness classNo CWE mapping in held sources.
Ransomware campaign useKnown (CISA)receipt

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

First unaffected version, by branchapp installer 1.11; app installer 1.16receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.
CISA remediation statusoverdue since 2021-12-29receipt
CISA required actionApply updates per vendor instructions.receipt
Published to CISA KEVsame dayderived

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Ransomware campaign use known, 2021-12-15.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed2021-12-15receipt
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known2021-12-15receipt

Authority who says so

CVSS, the CNA7.1 HIGHreceipt
CVSS, NVD7.1 HIGHreceipt
Exploit probability0.10295 · top 5% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymicrosoftreceipt
Recorded changes48 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productMicrosoft App Installerreceipt
Published rangesmicrosoft app installer < 1.16; microsoft app installer < 1.11receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

We have investigated reports of a spoofing vulnerability in AppX installer that affects Microsoft Windows. Microsoft is aware of attacks that attempt to exploit this vulnerability by using specially crafted packages that include the malware family known as Emotet/Trickbot/Bazaloader. An attacker could craft a malicious attachment to be used in phishing campaigns. The attacker would then have to convince the user to open the specially crafted attachment. Users whose accounts are configured to have fewer user rights on the system could be less impacted than users who operate with administrative user rights. Please see the Security Updates table for the link to the updated app. receipt

Read the rest of the CNA's description

Alternatively you can download and install the Installer using the links provided in the FAQ section. Please see the Mitigations and Workaround sections for important information about steps you can take to protect your system from this vulnerability. December 27 2023 Update: In recent months, Microsoft Threat Intelligence has seen an increase in activity from threat actors leveraging social engineering and phishing techniques to target Windows OS users and utilizing the ms-appinstaller URI scheme. To address this increase in activity, we have updated the App Installer to disable the ms-appinstaller protocol by default and recommend other potential mitigations.

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
7.1 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:H/PR:L/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
affected versions
microsoft app installer < 1.16; microsoft app installer < 1.11
also scored by
[email protected] 7.1 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:H/PR:L/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

check it yourself portal.msrc.microsoft.com bleepingcomputer.com thehackernews.com microsoft.com github.com receipt

Dated events

2021-12-15Added to CISA KEV2021-12-29CISA remediation due2024-07-25EPSS moved 0.00 to 0.132025-03-29EPSS moved 0.15 to 0.542026-06-15EPSS moved 0.25 to 0.10

Movement the material steps

16 Dec 20210.00416
7 Mar 20230.00163 · scoring model v2023.03.01
25 Jul 20240.13118 · crossed 0.10
17 Dec 20240.36980
17 Mar 20250.14934 · scoring model v2025.03.14
29 Mar 20250.53888 · crossed 0.50
30 Mar 20250.14934 · crossed 0.50
8 May 20260.25241
15 Jun 20260.10295 · scoring model v2026.06.15
Show all 37 observations
16 Dec 20210.00416
24 Dec 20210.04557
4 Feb 20220.0115
7 Mar 20230.00163
4 Apr 20230.00182
18 Apr 20230.00214
15 May 20230.00227
28 May 20230.00265
8 Jul 20230.00251
1 Nov 20230.00199
28 Dec 20230.00147
30 Dec 20230.00167
25 Jul 20240.13118
17 Aug 20240.13154
17 Dec 20240.36980
18 Dec 20240.32001
17 Jan 20250.27252
17 Mar 20250.14934
29 Mar 20250.53888
30 Mar 20250.14934
23 Sep 20250.12076
17 Oct 20250.12362
29 Oct 20250.12076
31 Oct 20250.12908
18 Nov 20250.14642
21 Nov 20250.12908
31 Jan 20260.1924
7 Feb 20260.19006
18 Feb 20260.19564
27 Feb 20260.20112
28 Feb 20260.1983
6 Mar 20260.19393
13 Mar 20260.16437
25 Mar 20260.16801
7 Apr 20260.16437
8 May 20260.25241
15 Jun 20260.10295

37 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.10295Published · CISA KEV2021-12-15Index as of2026-09-04

Listed by CISA on the day it published and the record had been public for 4 years, 8 months when this index was last written.

No material movement in 81 days as of the last ingest this index recorded.

Published 2021-12-15 receipt · CISA KEV 2021-12-15 receipt · Index as of 2026-09-04 derived

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