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CVE-2021-42321

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Microsoft Exchange Server Remote Code Execution Vulnerability

CVE-2021-423214 of 4 sources documented this
66

rank 66 = 40 + 16 + 0 + 4 + 6

rank@v1 · this cycle

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.91737 · CISA KEV listed  ·  without this subject the record ranks 26

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 6.5, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 50

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

no persisting rise in 365 days  ·  without this subject the record ranks 66

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

2 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 62

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

CISA remediation date held  ·  without this subject the record ranks 60

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$4.58Mover the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement-$1.51Mon 2022-08-20, the last material move, 4 years before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$4.58M = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.91737 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.91737EPSSKEV · LISTED
Severity8.8 HIGHreceipt
Harmtotal loss · ransomware-linkedreceipt
Exploitationransomware use knownreceipt
Defensefix version namedreceipt
Movementdoubled within 72hreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2023-03-07, 1277 days at 0.92, as of 2026-09-04. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

No weakness class or product neighbourhood is held for this record, so this index cannot name anywhere to check next. That is an absence in the record, not a finding about the software.

Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signal

Sources disagree here.

Severity score
Microsoft8.8 HIGHreceipt
NVD6.5 MEDIUMreceipt
Scoring standard
MicrosoftCVSS v3.1receipt
NVDCVSS v2.0receipt

Both shown, dated. We don't pick winners. disagreement-rules@v1

Running Microsoft Exchange Server 2016 Cumulative…? Check your version

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

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Reachnetwork-reachable · low privileges required · no user interaction · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · the CNA's vectorreceipt
Weakness classNo CWE mapping in held sources.
Ransomware campaign useKnown (CISA)receipt

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed in15.01.2308.020; 15.01.2375.017; 15.02.0792.019; 15.02.0986.014receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.
CISA remediation statusoverdue since 2021-12-01receipt
CISA required actionApply updates per vendor instructions.receipt
Published to CISA KEV7 daysderived

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Ransomware campaign use known, 2021-11-17.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published · 2 public repositories2021-11-23receipt
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed2021-11-17receipt
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known2021-11-17receipt

Authority who says so

CVSS, the CNA8.8 HIGHreceipt
CVSS, NVD6.5 MEDIUMreceipt
Exploit probability0.91737 · top 0.19% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymicrosoftreceipt
Recorded changes77 · last 18 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productMicrosoft Exchange Server 2016 Cumulative Update 21; Microsoft Exchange Server 2016 Cumulative Update 22; Microsoft Exchange Server 2019 Cumulative Update 10…receipt
Published rangesmicrosoft exchange server 2016; microsoft exchange server 2019receipt
Fixed in15.01.2308.020; 15.01.2375.017; 15.02.0792.019; 15.02.0986.014receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

Microsoft Exchange Server Remote Code Execution Vulnerability receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
6.5 AV:N/AC:L/Au:S/C:P/I:P/A:P
affected versions
microsoft exchange server 2016; microsoft exchange server 2019
also scored by
[email protected] 8.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H · [email protected] 8.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

The CNA scored it 8.8 and NVD 6.5. Both are shown because both were published; we do not pick one.

check it yourself msrc.microsoft.com receipt

Dated events

2021-11-11EPSS moved 0.01 to 0.102021-11-17Added to CISA KEV2021-12-01CISA remediation due2023-03-07EPSS moved 0.32 to 0.94

Movement the material steps

10 Nov 20210.00918
23 Nov 20210.32208 · crossed 0.10
4 Feb 20220.12797
25 Feb 20220.45168
26 Feb 20220.61126 · crossed 0.50
1 Apr 20220.15141 · crossed 0.50
18 Apr 20220.61126 · crossed 0.50
20 Aug 20220.30941 · crossed 0.50
7 Mar 20230.94405 · crossed 0.50 and 0.90 · scoring model v2023.03.01
17 Mar 20250.93392 · scoring model v2025.03.14
15 Jun 20260.90388 · scoring model v2026.06.15
20 Aug 20260.91737

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 63 observations
10 Nov 20210.00918
11 Nov 20210.09575
23 Nov 20210.32208
4 Feb 20220.12797
25 Feb 20220.45168
26 Feb 20220.61126
1 Apr 20220.15141
18 Apr 20220.61126
20 Aug 20220.30941
23 Aug 20220.31667
7 Mar 20230.94405
13 Mar 20230.94474
9 Apr 20230.94107
22 Apr 20230.93673
5 May 20230.93845
8 May 20230.95439
2 Jun 20230.95641
17 Jun 20230.95914
1 Jul 20230.96250
8 Jul 20230.94537
15 Jul 20230.94861
29 Aug 20230.94578
12 Sep 20230.95155
22 Sep 20230.92545
26 Sep 20230.92086
25 Oct 20230.91075
6 Nov 20230.90677
6 Dec 20230.91312
7 Feb 20240.95352
14 Feb 20240.96203
1 Mar 20240.96381
28 Mar 20240.96514
24 Apr 20240.96537
21 May 20240.96540
29 Oct 20240.96456
13 Nov 20240.96458
13 Dec 20240.96474
17 Dec 20240.96299
11 Feb 20250.96225
17 Mar 20250.93392
19 Mar 20250.93302
23 Mar 20250.93132
24 Mar 20250.93302
28 Mar 20250.93163
29 Mar 20250.93302
30 Mar 20250.93163
11 Apr 20250.92975
12 Apr 20250.93163
17 Apr 20250.93263
18 Apr 20250.93399
15 May 20250.93507
8 Aug 20250.93289
22 Oct 20250.93403
31 Oct 20250.93343
18 Nov 20250.92012
21 Nov 20250.93343
28 Dec 20250.92801
29 Dec 20250.93422
8 Jan 20260.92801
14 Jan 20260.93422
4 Apr 20260.93618
15 Jun 20260.90388
20 Aug 20260.91737

63 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.91737Published2021-11-10CISA KEV2021-11-17Public PoC2021-11-23Index as of2026-09-04

Listed by CISA 7 days after it published, exploit probability more than doubled between 2021-11-10 and 2021-11-11 (0.00918 → 0.09575) and the record had been public for 4 years, 9 months when this index was last written.

No material movement in 15 days as of the last ingest this index recorded.

Published 2021-11-10 receipt · CISA KEV 2021-11-17 receipt · Public PoC 2021-11-23 receipt · Index as of 2026-09-04 derived

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