vciy

CVE-2021-31949

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Microsoft Outlook Remote Code Execution Vulnerability

CVE-2021-319494 of 4 sources documented this
23

rank 23 = 1 + 17 + 0 + 5 + 0

rank@v1 · backlog

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.02567  ·  without this subject the record ranks 22

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 6.8, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 6

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

no persisting rise in 365 days  ·  without this subject the record ranks 23

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

3 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 18

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

no CISA due date  ·  without this subject the record ranks 23

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$119,000over the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement-$420,000on 2024-09-24, the last material move, 1 year, 8 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$119,000 = $4.99M incident cost x 0.9280467328949208 exposure x 0.02567 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.02567EPSSNOT IN KEVas of 2026-09-20
Severity7.3 HIGHreceipt
Harmpartial impactreceipt
Exploitationnone in held sources
Defensefix version namedreceipt
Movementscoring model changedreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2024-07-25, 690 days at 0.03, as of 2026-06-15. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

CVE-2012-0158Google Chromelangflow-aiMicrosoftRejetto HTTP File31949

This record is one instance of CWE-94, improper control of generation of code ('code injection'). The index holds 7185 prior instances of this class, 79 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. taxonomy@v1

Full pattern panel

Prior records in this weakness class. Each is its own record, dated and receipted.
Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signalspoke length is how much of the record matches, not how bad it is

Sources disagree here.

Severity score
Microsoft7.3 HIGHreceipt
NVD6.8 MEDIUMreceipt
Scoring standard
MicrosoftCVSS v3.1receipt
NVDCVSS v2.0receipt

Both shown, dated. We don't pick winners. disagreement-rules@v1

Running Microsoft Office 2019? Check your version

A deterministic range check against the ranges this record publishes. It tells you where a version sits in the record, not whether your deployment is exploitable. No account needed.

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

Written for the ticket you're about to file.

Reachneeds local access · no privileges required · user interaction required · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality and integrity loss; partial availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · the CNA's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-94 Improper Control of Generation of Code ('Code Injection')receipt
Published consequencesCWE-94: Access Control: Bypass Protection Mechanism; Access Control: Gain Privileges or Assume Identity; Integrity, Confidentiality, Availability: Execute Unauthorized Code or Commands…[email protected]

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed in16.0.5356.1000.; 15.0.5475.1000receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Nothing observed in held sources.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, the CNA7.3 HIGHreceipt
CVSS, NVD6.8 MEDIUMreceipt
Exploit probability0.02567 · top 16% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth2 products across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymicrosoftreceipt
Recorded changes69 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productMicrosoft Office 2019; Microsoft 365 Apps for Enterprise; Microsoft Outlook 2016; Microsoft Outlook 2013 Service Pack 1receipt
Published rangesmicrosoft office 2019; microsoft outlook 2013; microsoft outlook 2016receipt
Fixed in16.0.5356.1000.; 15.0.5475.1000receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

Microsoft Outlook Remote Code Execution Vulnerability receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
6.8 AV:N/AC:M/Au:N/C:P/I:P/A:P
weakness
CWE-94
affected versions
microsoft office 2019; microsoft outlook 2013; microsoft outlook 2016
also scored by
[email protected] 7.3 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:L · [email protected] 7.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

The CNA scored it 7.3 and NVD 6.8. Both are shown because both were published; we do not pick one.

check it yourself portal.msrc.microsoft.com receipt

Dated events

2021-06-16EPSS moved 0.01 to 0.102023-11-21EPSS moved 0.02 to 0.322024-09-24EPSS moved 0.10 to 0.01

Movement the material steps

9 Jun 20210.00918
6 Jan 20220.32208 · crossed 0.10
4 Feb 20220.12761
1 Apr 20220.01528 · crossed 0.10
7 Mar 20230.00527 · scoring model v2023.03.01
25 Oct 20230.22852 · crossed 0.10
8 Nov 20230.01784 · crossed 0.10
21 Nov 20230.31967 · crossed 0.10
5 Dec 20230.02151 · crossed 0.10
7 Mar 20240.11846 · crossed 0.10
19 Mar 20240.03063 · crossed 0.10
11 Jul 20240.21909 · crossed 0.10
25 Jul 20240.07515 · crossed 0.10
9 Aug 20240.11712 · crossed 0.10
25 Aug 20240.05872 · crossed 0.10
9 Sep 20240.10035 · crossed 0.10
24 Sep 20240.00962 · crossed 0.10
17 Mar 20250.00905 · scoring model v2025.03.14
15 Jun 20260.02567 · scoring model v2026.06.15

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 69 observations
9 Jun 20210.00918
16 Jun 20210.09575
6 Jan 20220.32208
4 Feb 20220.12761
1 Apr 20220.01528
27 Aug 20220.01648
25 Dec 20220.01789
7 Mar 20230.00527
28 Mar 20230.00626
11 Apr 20230.00437
25 Apr 20230.00213
24 May 20230.00239
5 Jul 20230.00259
19 Jul 20230.00302
2 Aug 20230.00252
16 Aug 20230.00234
31 Aug 20230.00290
12 Sep 20230.00913
28 Sep 20230.00654
10 Oct 20230.02120
25 Oct 20230.22852
8 Nov 20230.01784
21 Nov 20230.31967
5 Dec 20230.02151
18 Dec 20230.02261
1 Jan 20240.07303
13 Jan 20240.02296
27 Jan 20240.04121
9 Feb 20240.02640
22 Feb 20240.05140
7 Mar 20240.11846
19 Mar 20240.03063
3 Apr 20240.05008
16 Apr 20240.04155
30 Apr 20240.03050
14 May 20240.08105
27 May 20240.03347
11 Jun 20240.07732
25 Jun 20240.04806
11 Jul 20240.21909
25 Jul 20240.07515
9 Aug 20240.11712
25 Aug 20240.05872
9 Sep 20240.10035
24 Sep 20240.00962
11 Oct 20240.00848
26 Oct 20240.00853
11 Nov 20240.00806
28 Nov 20240.00976
16 Dec 20240.00913
17 Dec 20240.01880
3 Jan 20250.01674
20 Jan 20250.01664
1 Mar 20250.01272
17 Mar 20250.00905
19 Mar 20250.00819
29 Mar 20250.01012
30 Mar 20250.00776
15 Apr 20250.00783
7 May 20250.00722
19 Jun 20250.00435
19 Aug 20250.00578
31 Aug 20250.00784
30 Oct 20250.01437
18 Nov 20250.01625
21 Nov 20250.01437
8 Mar 20260.02613
29 Apr 20260.03508
15 Jun 20260.02567

69 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.02567Published2021-06-08Index as of2026-06-15

Exploit probability more than doubled between 2024-12-16 and 2024-12-17 (0.00913 → 0.0188) and the record had been public for 5 years when this index was last written.

Published 2021-06-08 receipt · Index as of 2026-06-15 derived

The pattern, elsewhere

This record is one instance of CWE-94, improper control of generation of code ('code injection'). The index holds 7185 prior instances of this class, 79 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. [email protected]

CVE-2012-0158matches 6 of 8KEV listed · 2012receipt
CVE-2026-3910 · Google Chromematches 6 of 9KEV listed · 2026receipt
CVE-2025-3248 · langflow-ai langflowmatches 5 of 9KEV listed · 2025receipt
CVE-2025-49704 · Microsoft SharePoint Enterprise Server 2016matches 5 of 9KEV listed · 2025receipt
CVE-2024-23692 · Rejetto HTTP File Servermatches 5 of 9KEV listed · 2024receipt
CVE-2023-24955 · Microsoft SharePoint Enterprise Server 2016matches 5 of 9KEV listed · 2023receipt

"Matches n of m" counts the attributes the two records can both be compared on: the CVSS metrics they share a version of, any weakness class beyond this one, and the vendor. fit-rules@v1

7185 records in this class held. The six above are drawn from the ones CISA has listed as exploited, ranked by how much of the record matches this one. That is why every one of them is KEV-listed: the pool is, so the colour on those spokes says nothing the pool has not already said.

No curated product neighbourhood is held for this product, so the records above are the nearest this index can name. The neighbourhood table covers a small set of products and is extended by hand.

Siblings and hubs

Records related to this one

Its defect family

microsoft office 2019

Of the 2 records in this family, this is the only one holding a stated fix version: 16.0.5356.1000.; 15.0.5475.1000.

Grouped by shared product and weakness, not by shared vulnerability. Each record's own state is on its own page.

Family membership: held values

This record is one of a group, and the group's page describes all of them. This page is kept and dated, and the defect family's own page is the one we offer for indexing: the whole group.

Browse the index from here

These are index-wide views, not findings about CVE-2021-31949.

What usually comes next

Everything above needs no account. What is below is work: assembling it, scoping it to your estate, watching it, and handing it to someone else.

Everything on this page is free. Public data. Withholding it protects nothing.