vciy

CVE-2021-29221

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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A local privilege escalation vulnerability was discovered in Erlang/OTP prior to version 23.2.3

CVE-2021-292214 of 4 sources documented this
20

rank 20 = 0 + 18 + 0 + 2 + 0

rank@v1 · backlog

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.00584  ·  without this subject the record ranks 20

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 7.0, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 2

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

no persisting rise in 365 days  ·  without this subject the record ranks 20

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

1 product in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 18

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

no CISA due date  ·  without this subject the record ranks 20

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$29,100over the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement-$1.02Mon 2022-02-04, the last material move, 4 years, 4 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$29,100 = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.00584 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.00584EPSSNOT IN KEVas of 2026-09-20
Severity7 HIGHreceipt
Harmtotal lossreceipt
Exploitationnone in held sources
Defenseunaffected versions publishedreceipt
Movementscoring model changedreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2022-02-04, 1592 days at 0.01, as of 2026-06-15. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

Audinate DanteMicrosoft WindowsCVE-2012-185429221

This record is one instance of CWE-426, untrusted search path. The index holds 685 prior instances of this class, 3 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. taxonomy@v1

Full pattern panel

Prior records in this weakness class. Each is its own record, dated and receipted.
Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signalspoke length is how much of the record matches, not how bad it is

Running Erlang Project Erlang/OTP? Check your version

A deterministic range check against the ranges this record publishes. It tells you where a version sits in the record, not whether your deployment is exploitable. No account needed.

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

Written for the ticket you're about to file.

Reachneeds local access · no privileges required · user interaction required · high attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · NVD's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-426 Untrusted Search Pathreceipt
Published consequencesCWE-426: Integrity, Confidentiality, Availability, Access Control: Gain Privileges or Assume Identity, Execute Unauthorized Code or Commands; Availability: DoS: Crash, Exit, or Restart…[email protected]

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

First unaffected version, by brancherlang\/otp 23.2.3receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Nothing observed in held sources.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, NVD7 HIGHreceipt
Exploit probability0.00584 · top 53% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned byDeepSurfacereceipt
Recorded changes40 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productErlang Project Erlang/OTPreceipt
Published rangeserlang\/otp < 23.2.3receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

A local privilege escalation vulnerability was discovered in Erlang/OTP prior to version 23.2.3. By adding files to an existing installation's directory, a local attacker could hijack accounts of other users running Erlang programs or possibly coerce a service running with "erlsrv.exe" to execute arbitrary code as Local System. This can occur only under specific conditions on Windows with unsafe filesystem permissions. receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
7 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:H/PR:N/UI:R/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
weakness
CWE-426
affected versions
erlang\/otp < 23.2.3

check it yourself github.com deepsurface.com receipt

Dated events

2021-04-27EPSS moved 0.01 to 0.062022-01-06EPSS moved 0.06 to 0.232022-02-04EPSS moved 0.23 to 0.03

Movement the material steps

14 Apr 20210.00584
6 Jan 20220.23163 · crossed 0.10
4 Feb 20220.02683 · crossed 0.10
7 Mar 20236.8e-4 · scoring model v2023.03.01
17 Mar 20250.00108 · scoring model v2025.03.14
15 Jun 20260.00584 · scoring model v2026.06.15
Show all 40 observations
14 Apr 20210.00584
27 Apr 20210.06296
6 Jan 20220.23163
4 Feb 20220.02683
1 Apr 20220.01005
7 Mar 20236.8e-4
8 Mar 20230.00068
24 Dec 20230.00070
15 Mar 20240.00074
17 Dec 20240.00084
25 Dec 20240.00119
17 Mar 20250.00108
29 Mar 20250.00101
30 Mar 20250.00108
1 May 20250.00109
4 May 20250.00108
1 Jun 20250.00109
4 Jun 20250.00108
1 Jul 20250.00109
4 Jul 20250.00108
1 Aug 20250.00109
4 Aug 20250.00108
1 Sep 20250.00109
4 Sep 20250.00108
1 Oct 20250.00109
4 Oct 20250.00108
1 Nov 20250.00109
4 Nov 20250.00108
18 Nov 20250.00044
21 Nov 20250.00039
1 Dec 20250.00049
4 Dec 20250.00038
1 Jan 20260.00049
4 Jan 20260.00038
1 Feb 20260.00049
4 Feb 20260.00038
1 Mar 20260.00049
4 Mar 20260.00038
6 Mar 20260.00039
15 Jun 20260.00584

40 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.00584Published2021-04-09Index as of2026-06-15

The record had been public for 5 years, 2 months when this index was last written.

Published 2021-04-09 receipt · Index as of 2026-06-15 derived

The pattern, elsewhere

This record is one instance of CWE-426, untrusted search path. The index holds 685 prior instances of this class, 3 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. [email protected]

CVE-2022-23748 · Audinate Dante Application Library for…matches 7 of 9KEV listed · 2022receipt
CVE-2022-22047 · Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1809matches 5 of 9KEV listed · 2022receipt
CVE-2012-1854nothing comparable heldKEV listed · 2012receipt

"Matches n of m" counts the attributes the two records can both be compared on: the CVSS metrics they share a version of, any weakness class beyond this one, and the vendor. fit-rules@v1

685 records in this class held. The six above are drawn from the ones CISA has listed as exploited, ranked by how much of the record matches this one. That is why every one of them is KEV-listed: the pool is, so the colour on those spokes says nothing the pool has not already said.

No curated product neighbourhood is held for this product, so the records above are the nearest this index can name. The neighbourhood table covers a small set of products and is extended by hand.

Siblings and hubs

Records related to this one

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What usually comes next

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