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CVE-2021-28799

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Improper Authorization Vulnerability in HBS 3 (Hybrid Backup Sync)

CVE-2021-287994 of 4 sources documented this
78

rank 78 = 40 + 25 + 2 + 5 + 6

rank@v1 · act now

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.78250 · CISA KEV listed  ·  without this subject the record ranks 38

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 9.8, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 53

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

rose on 2026-01-11  ·  without this subject the record ranks 76

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

4 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 73

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

CISA remediation date held  ·  without this subject the record ranks 72

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$3.90Mover the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement+$534,000on 2026-01-11, the last material move, 7 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$3.90M = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.7825 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.7825EPSSKEV · LISTED
Severity10 CRITICALreceipt
Harmtotal loss · unauthenticated · ransomware-linkedreceipt
Exploitationransomware use knownreceipt
Defensefix version namedreceipt
Movementdoubled within 72hreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2026-06-15, 81 days at 0.78, as of 2026-09-04. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

No weakness class or product neighbourhood is held for this record, so this index cannot name anywhere to check next. That is an absence in the record, not a finding about the software.

Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signal

Sources disagree here.

Severity score
Qnap10 CRITICALreceipt
NVD9.8 CRITICALreceipt
What it costs
QnapComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability loss, with impact beyond the vulnerable componentreceipt
NVDComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability lossreceipt

Both shown, dated. We don't pick winners. disagreement-rules@v1

Running QNAP Systems Inc. HBS 3? Check your version

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

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Reachnetwork-reachable · no privileges required · no user interaction · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability loss, with impact beyond the vulnerable componentreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · the CNA's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-285 Improper Authorizationreceipt
Published consequencesCWE-285: Confidentiality: Read Application Data, Read Files or Directories; Integrity: Modify Application Data, Modify Files or Directories…[email protected]
Ransomware campaign useKnown (CISA)receipt

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed inall versionsreceipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.
CISA remediation statusoverdue since 2022-04-21receipt
CISA required actionApply updates per vendor instructions.receipt
Published to CISA KEV322 daysderived

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Ransomware campaign use known, 2022-03-31.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed2022-03-31receipt
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known2022-03-31receipt

Authority who says so

CVSS, the CNA10 CRITICALreceipt
CVSS, NVD9.8 CRITICALreceipt
Exploit probability0.7825 · top 0.44% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned byqnapreceipt
Recorded changes54 · last 18 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productQNAP Systems Inc. HBS 3; QNAP Systems Inc. HBS 2; QNAP Systems Inc. HBS 1.3receipt
Published rangesqnap hybrid backup sync < 16.0.0415; qnap hybrid backup sync < 3.0.210412; qnap hybrid backup sync < 3.0.210411; qnap hybrid backup sync < 16.0.0419receipt
Fixed inall versionsreceipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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Attack path

Unauthenticated network requestno credentials, no interactionCISA KEV listingadded 03-31 · due 04-21QNAP Systems Inc. HBS 3CWE-285 weaknessAdjacent componentsscope changeFull compromise (C/I/A)C:H / I:H / A:Hmandates remediationexploits CWE-285scope changedata compromise

What it is stated by the CNA

An improper authorization vulnerability has been reported to affect QNAP NAS running HBS 3 (Hybrid Backup Sync. ) If exploited, the vulnerability allows remote attackers to log in to a device. This issue affects: QNAP Systems Inc. HBS 3 versions prior to v16.0.0415 on QTS 4.5.2; versions prior to v3.0.210412 on QTS 4.3.6; versions prior to v3.0.210411 on QTS 4.3.4; versions prior to v3.0.210411 on QTS 4.3.3; versions prior to v16.0.0419 on QuTS hero h4.5.1; versions prior to v16.0.0419 on QuTScloud c4.5.1~c4.5.4. This issue does not affect: QNAP Systems Inc. HBS 2 . QNAP Systems Inc. HBS 1.3 . receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
9.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
weakness
CWE-285
affected versions
qnap hybrid backup sync < 16.0.0415; qnap hybrid backup sync < 3.0.210412; qnap hybrid backup sync < 3.0.210411; and 1 more, listed in full below
also scored by
[email protected] 10 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:C/C:H/I:H/A:H

The CNA scored it 10 and NVD 9.8. Both are shown because both were published; we do not pick one.

check it yourself qnap.com receipt

Dated events

2022-02-04EPSS moved 0.02 to 0.092022-03-31Added to CISA KEV2022-04-21CISA remediation due2023-03-07EPSS moved 0.01 to 0.922026-06-15EPSS moved 0.92 to 0.78

Movement the material steps

13 May 20210.00523
7 Mar 20230.91576 · crossed 0.10 and 0.50 and 0.90 · scoring model v2023.03.01
28 Sep 20230.89883 · crossed 0.90
17 Mar 20250.88131 · scoring model v2025.03.14
18 Nov 20250.28728 · crossed 0.50
21 Nov 20250.86248 · crossed 0.50
11 Jan 20260.909 · crossed 0.90
15 Jun 20260.78395 · crossed 0.90 · scoring model v2026.06.15
16 Jul 20260.7825

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 43 observations
13 May 20210.00523
6 Jan 20220.02304
4 Feb 20220.09029
1 Apr 20220.01055
7 Mar 20230.91576
27 Apr 20230.90962
8 May 20230.91547
4 Aug 20230.92073
13 Sep 20230.91521
28 Sep 20230.89883
12 Oct 20230.89131
17 Dec 20230.88908
26 Jan 20240.87758
14 Mar 20240.88979
10 Apr 20240.87991
17 Dec 20240.88128
28 Jan 20250.89802
17 Mar 20250.88131
27 Mar 20250.8878
29 Mar 20250.89586
30 Mar 20250.8878
22 Jul 20250.88783
2 Aug 20250.88768
13 Sep 20250.88783
6 Oct 20250.88768
22 Oct 20250.89539
27 Oct 20250.89553
28 Oct 20250.88988
1 Nov 20250.89533
4 Nov 20250.86248
18 Nov 20250.28728
21 Nov 20250.86248
7 Dec 20250.85974
8 Dec 20250.80202
11 Jan 20260.909
18 Jan 20260.91146
26 Apr 20260.90837
7 Jun 20260.91882
8 Jun 20260.92428
9 Jun 20260.92256
10 Jun 20260.92368
15 Jun 20260.78395
16 Jul 20260.7825

43 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.7825Published2021-05-13CISA KEV2022-03-31Index as of2026-09-04

Listed by CISA 322 days after it published, exploit probability more than doubled between 2025-11-18 and 2025-11-21 (0.28728 → 0.86248) and the record had been public for 5 years, 3 months when this index was last written.

No material movement in 50 days as of the last ingest this index recorded.

Published 2021-05-13 receipt · CISA KEV 2022-03-31 receipt · Index as of 2026-09-04 derived

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