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CVE-2021-28476

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Windows Hyper-V Remote Code Execution Vulnerability

CVE-2021-284764 of 4 sources documented this
45

rank 45 = 21 + 16 + 0 + 8 + 0

rank@v1 · this cycle

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.38625  ·  without this subject the record ranks 24

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 6.5, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 29

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

no persisting rise in 365 days  ·  without this subject the record ranks 45

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

11 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 37

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

no CISA due date  ·  without this subject the record ranks 45

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$1.93Mover the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement+$317,000on 2026-06-04, the last material move, 1 month before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$1.93M = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.38625 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.38625EPSSNOT IN KEVas of 2026-09-20
Severity9.9 CRITICALreceipt
Harmtotal lossreceipt
Exploitationpublic proof-of-conceptreceipt
Defensefix version namedreceipt
Movementdoubled within 72hreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2026-06-15, 23 days at 0.39, as of 2026-07-08. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

No weakness class or product neighbourhood is held for this record, so this index cannot name anywhere to check next. That is an absence in the record, not a finding about the software.

Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signal

Sources disagree here.

Severity score
Microsoft9.9 CRITICALreceipt
NVD6.5 MEDIUMreceipt
Scoring standard
MicrosoftCVSS v3.1receipt
NVDCVSS v2.0receipt

Both shown, dated. We don't pick winners. disagreement-rules@v1

Running Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1803? Check your version

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

Written for the ticket you're about to file.

Reachnetwork-reachable · low privileges required · no user interaction · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability loss, with impact beyond the vulnerable componentreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · the CNA's vectorreceipt
Weakness classNo CWE mapping in held sources.

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed in10.0.17134.2207; 10.0.17763.1935; 10.0.18363.1556; 10.0.19041.982; 10.0.19042.982; 10.0.10240.18931; 10.0.14393.4401; 6.1.7601.24597; 6.1.7601.24598…receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Proof-of-concept published · 3 public repositories, 2021-05-31.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published · 3 public repositories2021-05-31receipt
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, the CNA9.9 CRITICALreceipt
CVSS, NVD6.5 MEDIUMreceipt
Exploit probability0.38625 · top 1% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth2 products across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymicrosoftreceipt
Recorded changes48 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productMicrosoft Windows 10 Version 1803; Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1809; Microsoft Windows Server 2019; Microsoft Windows Server 2019 (Server Core installation); Microsoft Windows 10 Version 1909…receipt
Published rangesmicrosoft windows 10 20h2; microsoft windows 10 1607; microsoft windows 10 1803; microsoft windows 10 1809receipt
Show all 11 published ranges
microsoft windows 10 20h2
microsoft windows 10 1607
microsoft windows 10 1803
microsoft windows 10 1809
microsoft windows 10 1909
microsoft windows 10 2004
microsoft windows server 2008 r2
microsoft windows server 2012 r2
microsoft windows server 2016 20h2
microsoft windows server 2016 1909
microsoft windows server 2016 2004
Fixed in10.0.17134.2207; 10.0.17763.1935; 10.0.18363.1556; 10.0.19041.982; 10.0.19042.982; 10.0.10240.18931; 10.0.14393.4401; 6.1.7601.24597; 6.1.7601.24598…receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

Windows Hyper-V Remote Code Execution Vulnerability receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
6.5 AV:N/AC:L/Au:S/C:P/I:P/A:P
affected versions
microsoft windows 10 20h2; microsoft windows 10 1607; microsoft windows 10 1803; and 8 more, listed in full below
also scored by
[email protected] 9.9 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:C/C:H/I:H/A:H · [email protected] 9.9 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:C/C:H/I:H/A:H

The CNA scored it 9.9 and NVD 6.5. Both are shown because both were published; we do not pick one.

check it yourself portal.msrc.microsoft.com packetstormsecurity.com receipt

Dated events

2021-05-15EPSS moved 0.01 to 0.102025-03-17EPSS moved 0.14 to 0.612026-06-15EPSS moved 0.55 to 0.39

Movement the material steps

12 May 20210.00918
1 Jun 20210.32208 · crossed 0.10
7 Mar 20230.09139 · crossed 0.10 · scoring model v2023.03.01
11 Oct 20230.12277 · crossed 0.10
24 Oct 20230.09613 · crossed 0.10
20 Feb 20240.12282 · crossed 0.10
6 Mar 20240.09063 · crossed 0.10
16 Apr 20240.10869 · crossed 0.10
17 Mar 20250.6059 · crossed 0.50 · scoring model v2025.03.14
18 Nov 20250.49868 · crossed 0.50
21 Nov 20250.63905 · crossed 0.50
22 May 20260.48791 · crossed 0.50
4 Jun 20260.55147 · crossed 0.50
15 Jun 20260.39226 · crossed 0.50 · scoring model v2026.06.15
8 Jul 20260.38625

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 45 observations
12 May 20210.00918
15 May 20210.09575
1 Jun 20210.32208
15 Jul 20210.41682
4 Feb 20220.25101
7 Mar 20230.09139
26 Apr 20230.07852
25 May 20230.07405
3 Aug 20230.08327
27 Sep 20230.08624
11 Oct 20230.12277
24 Oct 20230.09613
4 Dec 20230.07884
30 Dec 20230.09325
20 Feb 20240.12282
6 Mar 20240.09063
16 Apr 20240.10869
29 Apr 20240.14232
14 May 20240.15529
12 Aug 20240.13197
13 Sep 20240.11290
17 Dec 20240.13228
26 Jan 20250.15332
15 Mar 20250.14173
17 Mar 20250.6059
9 Apr 20250.64822
10 Apr 20250.65532
29 Apr 20250.63205
22 May 20250.5741
24 May 20250.51885
4 Jun 20250.57886
29 Jun 20250.63205
1 Oct 20250.63905
27 Oct 20250.63205
28 Oct 20250.63905
18 Nov 20250.49868
21 Nov 20250.63905
27 Dec 20250.63205
28 Dec 20250.63905
24 Apr 20260.55147
22 May 20260.48791
4 Jun 20260.55147
15 Jun 20260.39226
22 Jun 20260.38368
8 Jul 20260.38625

45 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.38625Published2021-05-11Public PoC2021-05-31Index as of2026-07-08

Exploit probability more than doubled between 2021-05-12 and 2021-05-15 (0.00918 → 0.09575) and the record had been public for 5 years, 1 month when this index was last written.

Published 2021-05-11 receipt · Public PoC 2021-05-31 receipt · Index as of 2026-07-08 derived

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