vciy

CVE-2021-25321

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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arpwatch: Local privilege escalation from runtime user to root

CVE-2021-253214 of 4 sources documented this
25

rank 25 = 0 + 20 + 0 + 5 + 0

rank@v1 · scheduled

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.00441  ·  without this subject the record ranks 25

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 7.8, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 5

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

no persisting rise in 365 days  ·  without this subject the record ranks 25

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

3 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 20

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

no CISA due date  ·  without this subject the record ranks 25

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$22,000over the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movementno material movementthe record holds only daily drift and scoring model releases
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$22,000 = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.00441 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.00441EPSSNOT IN KEVas of 2026-09-20
Severity7.8 HIGHreceipt
Harmtotal lossreceipt
Exploitationnone in held sources
Defensefix version namedreceipt
Movementscoring model changedreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2021-07-01, 1810 days at 0.00, as of 2026-06-15. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

No weakness class or product neighbourhood is held for this record, so this index cannot name anywhere to check next. That is an absence in the record, not a finding about the software.

Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signal

Running SUSE Linux Enterprise Server 11-SP4-LTSS? Check your version

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

Written for the ticket you're about to file.

Reachneeds local access · low privileges required · no user interaction · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · the CNA's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-61 UNIX Symbolic Link (Symlink) Followingreceipt
Published consequencesCWE-61: Confidentiality, Integrity: Read Files or Directories, Modify Files or Directories[email protected]

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed in2.1a15receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Nothing observed in held sources.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, the CNA7.8 HIGHreceipt
CVSS, NVD7.8 HIGHreceipt
Exploit probability0.00441 · top 62% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bysusereceipt
Recorded changes11 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productSUSE Linux Enterprise Server 11-SP4-LTSS; SUSE Manager Server 4.0; SUSE OpenStack Cloud Crowbar 9; openSUSE Factory; openSUSE Leap 15.2receipt
Published rangessuse arpwatch < 2.1a15; suse arpwatch <= 2.1a15-169.5; suse arpwatch <= 2.1a15-lp152.5.5receipt
Fixed in2.1a15receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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Attack path

Local accessrequires low privilegesopenSUSE FactoryCWE-61 weaknessFull compromise (C/I/A)C:H / I:H / A:Hexploits CWE-61data compromise

What it is stated by the CNA

A UNIX Symbolic Link (Symlink) Following vulnerability in arpwatch of SUSE Linux Enterprise Server 11-SP4-LTSS, SUSE Manager Server 4.0, SUSE OpenStack Cloud Crowbar 9; openSUSE Factory, Leap 15.2 allows local attackers with control of the runtime user to run arpwatch as to escalate to root upon the next restart of arpwatch. This issue affects: SUSE Linux Enterprise Server 11-SP4-LTSS arpwatch versions prior to 2.1a15. SUSE Manager Server 4.0 arpwatch versions prior to 2.1a15. SUSE OpenStack Cloud Crowbar 9 arpwatch versions prior to 2.1a15. openSUSE Factory arpwatch version 2.1a15-169.5 and prior versions. openSUSE Leap 15.2 arpwatch version 2.1a15-lp152.5.5 and prior versions. receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
7.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
weakness
CWE-61
affected versions
suse arpwatch < 2.1a15; suse arpwatch <= 2.1a15-169.5; suse arpwatch <= 2.1a15-lp152.5.5
also scored by
[email protected] 7.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

check it yourself bugzilla.suse.com receipt

Movement the material steps

1 Jul 20210.00221
7 Mar 20234.2e-4 · scoring model v2023.03.01
17 Mar 20250.00109 · scoring model v2025.03.14
15 Jun 20260.00441 · scoring model v2026.06.15
Show all 11 observations
1 Jul 20210.00221
6 Jan 20220.00985
4 Feb 20220.01404
1 Apr 20220.00885
7 Mar 20234.2e-4
8 Mar 20230.00042
17 Mar 20250.00109
29 Mar 20250.00241
30 Mar 20250.00109
27 Oct 20250.0003
15 Jun 20260.00441

11 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.00441Published2021-06-30Index as of2026-06-15

The record had been public for 4 years, 11 months when this index was last written.

Published 2021-06-30 receipt · Index as of 2026-06-15 derived

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