vciy

CVE-2021-1647

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Microsoft Defender Remote Code Execution Vulnerability

CVE-2021-16474 of 4 sources documented this
67

rank 67 = 40 + 18 + 1 + 2 + 6

rank@v1 · this cycle

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.39392 · CISA KEV listed  ·  without this subject the record ranks 27

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 7.2, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 49

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

rose on 2026-01-14  ·  without this subject the record ranks 66

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

1 product in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 65

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

CISA remediation date held  ·  without this subject the record ranks 61

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$1.97Mover the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement+$1.69Mon 2025-11-21, the last material move, 9 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$1.97M = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.39392 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.39392EPSSKEV · LISTED
Severity7.8 HIGHreceipt
Harmtotal lossreceipt
Exploitationin the wild · KEVreceipt
Defenseno fix version held
Movementrisenreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2026-06-15, 81 days at 0.39, as of 2026-09-04. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

No weakness class or product neighbourhood is held for this record, so this index cannot name anywhere to check next. That is an absence in the record, not a finding about the software.

Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signal

Sources disagree here.

Severity score
Microsoft7.8 HIGHreceipt
NVD7.2 HIGHreceipt
Scoring standard
MicrosoftCVSS v3.1receipt
NVDCVSS v2.0receipt

Both shown, dated. We don't pick winners. disagreement-rules@v1

Running Microsoft System Center Endpoint…? Check your version

A deterministic range check against the ranges this record publishes. It tells you where a version sits in the record, not whether your deployment is exploitable. No account needed.

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AcceptDeferPatch by…Not affectedMitigated

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

Written for the ticket you're about to file.

Reachneeds local access · low privileges required · no user interaction · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · the CNA's vectorreceipt
Weakness classNo CWE mapping in held sources.
Ransomware campaign useUnknown to CISAreceipt

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed inNo fix version in held sources, as the index stood on 4 Sep 2026.
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.
CISA remediation statusoverdue since 2021-11-17receipt
CISA required actionApply updates per vendor instructions.receipt
Published to CISA KEV295 daysderived

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed, 2021-11-03.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published · 1 public repository2021-01-23receipt
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed2021-11-03receipt
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, the CNA7.8 HIGHreceipt
CVSS, NVD7.2 HIGHreceipt
Exploit probability0.39392 · top 1% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymicrosoftreceipt
Recorded changes95 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productMicrosoft System Center Endpoint Protection; Microsoft System Center 2012 R2 Endpoint Protection; Microsoft Security Essentials; Microsoft System Center 2012 Endpoint Protection…receipt
Published rangesmicrosoft system center endpoint protection 2012receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

Microsoft Defender Remote Code Execution Vulnerability receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
7.2 AV:L/AC:L/Au:N/C:C/I:C/A:C
affected versions
microsoft system center endpoint protection 2012
also scored by
[email protected] 7.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H · [email protected] 7.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

The CNA scored it 7.8 and NVD 7.2. Both are shown because both were published; we do not pick one.

check it yourself msrc.microsoft.com receipt

Dated events

2021-11-03Added to CISA KEV2021-11-17CISA remediation due2022-01-06EPSS moved 0.10 to 0.322023-03-07EPSS moved 0.02 to 0.972026-06-15EPSS moved 0.76 to 0.40

Movement the material steps

14 Apr 20210.09575
6 Jan 20220.32208 · crossed 0.10
4 Feb 20220.05315 · crossed 0.10
7 Mar 20230.97238 · crossed 0.10 and 0.50 and 0.90 · scoring model v2023.03.01
30 Dec 20230.23242 · crossed 0.50 and 0.90
16 Jan 20240.40060
30 Jan 20240.21347
15 Feb 20240.34258
29 Feb 20240.17100
17 May 20240.27456
1 Jun 20240.09726 · crossed 0.10
4 Jul 20240.14853 · crossed 0.10
9 Aug 20240.33796
10 Oct 20240.13475
21 Feb 20250.24751
17 Mar 20250.61411 · crossed 0.50 · scoring model v2025.03.14
19 Mar 20250.73374
7 Apr 20250.63053
16 Jul 20250.75064
18 Nov 20250.40085 · crossed 0.50
21 Nov 20250.73986 · crossed 0.50
15 Jun 20260.39653 · crossed 0.50 · scoring model v2026.06.15
1 Aug 20260.39392
Show all 81 observations
14 Apr 20210.09575
6 Jan 20220.32208
4 Feb 20220.05315
1 Apr 20220.01877
7 Mar 20230.97238
8 Mar 20230.97357
22 Mar 20230.97331
6 Apr 20230.97318
18 Apr 20230.97041
16 May 20230.97111
31 May 20230.97120
14 Jun 20230.97133
27 Jun 20230.96982
11 Jul 20230.96738
24 Jul 20230.96998
7 Aug 20230.97111
19 Aug 20230.96999
2 Sep 20230.97032
15 Sep 20230.96995
28 Sep 20230.96851
12 Oct 20230.96998
24 Oct 20230.96875
8 Nov 20230.96962
21 Nov 20230.96892
5 Dec 20230.96864
19 Dec 20230.96980
30 Dec 20230.23242
1 Jan 20240.18296
16 Jan 20240.40060
30 Jan 20240.21347
15 Feb 20240.34258
29 Feb 20240.17100
15 Apr 20240.14876
30 Apr 20240.14608
17 May 20240.27456
1 Jun 20240.09726
17 Jun 20240.09248
4 Jul 20240.14853
22 Jul 20240.23521
9 Aug 20240.33796
11 Sep 20240.35001
10 Oct 20240.13475
1 Nov 20240.13381
16 Nov 20240.13569
3 Dec 20240.13421
17 Dec 20240.21008
21 Feb 20250.24751
8 Mar 20250.24094
9 Mar 20250.29721
17 Mar 20250.61411
19 Mar 20250.73374
20 Mar 20250.7294
22 Mar 20250.6856
25 Mar 20250.70263
27 Mar 20250.74563
28 Mar 20250.70263
29 Mar 20250.74563
30 Mar 20250.70263
6 Apr 20250.66066
7 Apr 20250.63053
5 Jun 20250.5939
10 Jul 20250.60511
16 Jul 20250.75064
4 Aug 20250.74903
3 Sep 20250.74962
1 Oct 20250.73806
22 Oct 20250.77465
27 Oct 20250.78443
28 Oct 20250.77465
16 Nov 20250.73986
18 Nov 20250.40085
21 Nov 20250.73986
27 Dec 20250.75134
28 Dec 20250.73986
14 Jan 20260.7775
7 Feb 20260.77891
6 Mar 20260.7775
11 Mar 20260.77387
5 Jun 20260.76108
15 Jun 20260.39653
1 Aug 20260.39392

81 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.39392Published2021-01-12Public PoC2021-01-23CISA KEV2021-11-03Index as of2026-09-04

Listed by CISA 295 days after it published and the record had been public for 5 years, 7 months when this index was last written.

No material movement in 34 days as of the last ingest this index recorded.

Published 2021-01-12 receipt · Public PoC 2021-01-23 receipt · CISA KEV 2021-11-03 receipt · Index as of 2026-09-04 derived

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