vciy

CVE-2020-16875

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Microsoft Exchange Server Remote Code Execution Vulnerability

CVE-2020-168754 of 4 sources documented this
39

rank 39 = 12 + 23 + 0 + 4 + 0

rank@v1 · scheduled

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.47424  ·  without this subject the record ranks 27

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 9.0, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 16

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

no persisting rise in 365 days  ·  without this subject the record ranks 39

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

2 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 35

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

no CISA due date  ·  without this subject the record ranks 39

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$2.37Mover the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement-$96,000on 2025-03-30, the last material move, 1 year, 4 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$2.37M = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.47424 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.47424EPSSNOT IN KEVas of 2026-09-20
Severity8.4 HIGHreceipt
Harmtotal lossreceipt
Exploitationnone in held sources
Defenseno fix version held
Movementfallenreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2026-06-15, 57 days at 0.47, as of 2026-08-11. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

AtlassianCisco IdentityCVE-2022-35914CVE-2020-17496CVE-2013-225116875

This record is one instance of CWE-74, improper neutralization of special elements in output used by a downstream component ('injection'). The index holds 5545 prior instances of this class, 13 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. taxonomy@v1

Full pattern panel

Prior records in this weakness class. Each is its own record, dated and receipted.
Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signalspoke length is how much of the record matches, not how bad it is

Sources disagree here.

Severity score
Microsoft8.4 HIGHreceipt
NVD9 CRITICALreceipt
Scoring standard
MicrosoftCVSS v3.1receipt
NVDCVSS v2.0receipt

Both shown, dated. We don't pick winners. disagreement-rules@v1

Running Microsoft Exchange Server 2019 Cumulative…? Check your version

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

Written for the ticket you're about to file.

Reachnetwork-reachable · high privileges required · user interaction required · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability loss, with impact beyond the vulnerable componentreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · the CNA's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-74 Improper Neutralization of Special Elements in Output Used by a Downstream Component ('Injection'); CWE-269 Improper Privilege Managementreceipt
Published consequencesCWE-74: Confidentiality: Read Application Data; Access Control: Bypass Protection Mechanism; Other: Alter Execution Logic; Integrity, Other: Other; Non-Repudiation: Hide Activities[email protected]

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed inNo fix version in held sources, as the index stood on 11 Aug 2026.
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Nothing observed in held sources.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, the CNA8.4 HIGHreceipt
CVSS, NVD9 CRITICALreceipt
Exploit probability0.47424 · top 1% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymicrosoftreceipt
Recorded changes45 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productMicrosoft Exchange Server 2019 Cumulative Update 5; Microsoft Exchange Server 2019 Cumulative Update 6; Microsoft Exchange Server 2016 Cumulative Update 16…receipt
Published rangesmicrosoft exchange server 2016; microsoft exchange server 2019receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

<p>A remote code execution vulnerability exists in Microsoft Exchange server due to improper validation of cmdlet arguments.</p> <p>An attacker who successfully exploited the vulnerability could run arbitrary code in the context of the System user. Exploitation of the vulnerability requires an authenticated user in a certain Exchange role to be compromised.</p> <p>The security update addresses the vulnerability by correcting how Microsoft Exchange handles cmdlet arguments.</p> receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
9 AV:N/AC:L/Au:S/C:C/I:C/A:C
weakness
CWE-74; CWE-269
affected versions
microsoft exchange server 2016; microsoft exchange server 2019
also scored by
[email protected] 8.4 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:H/UI:R/S:C/C:H/I:H/A:H · [email protected] 7.2 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:H/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

The CNA scored it 8.4 and NVD 9. Both are shown because both were published; we do not pick one.

check it yourself portal.msrc.microsoft.com packetstormsecurity.com receipt

Dated events

2022-02-04EPSS moved 0.84 to 0.312026-06-15EPSS moved 0.87 to 0.47

Movement the material steps

14 Apr 20210.8408
4 Feb 20220.30941 · crossed 0.50
7 Mar 20230.77582 · crossed 0.50 · scoring model v2023.03.01
1 Jan 20240.38420 · crossed 0.50
7 Feb 20240.53830 · crossed 0.50
13 Jun 20240.42179 · crossed 0.50
17 Mar 20250.89373 · crossed 0.50 · scoring model v2025.03.14
29 Mar 20250.90702 · crossed 0.90
30 Mar 20250.88779 · crossed 0.90
15 Jun 20260.47145 · crossed 0.50 · scoring model v2026.06.15
11 Aug 20260.47424
Show all 45 observations
14 Apr 20210.8408
4 Feb 20220.30941
7 Mar 20230.77582
10 Mar 20230.74962
2 May 20230.77423
15 Sep 20230.78792
22 Sep 20230.69367
13 Nov 20230.71229
29 Nov 20230.75514
14 Dec 20230.72550
1 Jan 20240.38420
15 Jan 20240.39822
7 Feb 20240.53830
21 Mar 20240.55670
8 Apr 20240.58152
25 Apr 20240.50612
13 Jun 20240.42179
1 Jul 20240.41995
16 Jul 20240.46851
18 Aug 20240.42932
5 Oct 20240.38880
21 Oct 20240.40820
6 Nov 20240.35813
17 Dec 20240.39686
23 Jan 20250.36411
17 Mar 20250.89373
19 Mar 20250.89895
29 Mar 20250.90702
30 Mar 20250.88779
29 May 20250.88329
19 Jun 20250.88701
15 Sep 20250.88554
16 Sep 20250.8699
29 Sep 20250.87131
19 Oct 20250.8714
27 Oct 20250.86312
30 Oct 20250.85387
4 Nov 20250.84693
18 Nov 20250.82828
21 Nov 20250.84693
8 Feb 20260.8561
1 Mar 20260.86513
21 Mar 20260.86816
15 Jun 20260.47145
11 Aug 20260.47424

45 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.47424Published2020-09-11Index as of2026-08-11

The record had been public for 5 years, 11 months when this index was last written.

Published 2020-09-11 receipt · Index as of 2026-08-11 derived

The pattern, elsewhere

This record is one instance of CWE-74, improper neutralization of special elements in output used by a downstream component ('injection'). The index holds 5545 prior instances of this class, 13 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. [email protected]

CVE-2023-22527 · Atlassian Confluence Data Centermatches 6 of 10KEV listed · 2024receipt
CVE-2025-20281 · Cisco Identity Services Engine Softwarematches 6 of 10KEV listed · 2025receipt
CVE-2025-20337 · Cisco Identity Services Engine Softwarematches 6 of 10KEV listed · 2025receipt
CVE-2022-35914matches 5 of 9KEV listed · 2022receipt
CVE-2020-17496matches 5 of 9KEV listed · 2020receipt
CVE-2013-2251matches 5 of 9KEV listed · 2013receipt

"Matches n of m" counts the attributes the two records can both be compared on: the CVSS metrics they share a version of, any weakness class beyond this one, and the vendor. fit-rules@v1

5545 records in this class held. The six above are drawn from the ones CISA has listed as exploited, ranked by how much of the record matches this one. That is why every one of them is KEV-listed: the pool is, so the colour on those spokes says nothing the pool has not already said.

No curated product neighbourhood is held for this product, so the records above are the nearest this index can name. The neighbourhood table covers a small set of products and is extended by hand.

Siblings and hubs

Records related to this one

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These are index-wide views, not findings about CVE-2020-16875.

What usually comes next

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