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CVE-2018-8589

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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An elevation of privilege vulnerability exists when Windows improperly handles calls to Win32k.sys, aka "Windows Win32k Elevation of Privilege…

CVE-2018-85894 of 4 sources documented this
72

rank 72 = 40 + 20 + 4 + 2 + 6

rank@v1 · act now

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.03023 · CISA KEV listed  ·  without this subject the record ranks 32

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 7.8, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 52

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

rose on 2025-10-29  ·  without this subject the record ranks 68

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

1 product in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 70

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

CISA remediation date held  ·  without this subject the record ranks 66

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$151,000over the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement+$209,000on 2026-04-04, the last material move, 5 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$151,000 = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.03023 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.03023EPSSKEV · LISTED
Severity7.8 HIGHreceipt
Harmtotal lossreceipt
Exploitationin the wild · KEVreceipt
Defenseno fix version held
Movementdoubled within 72hreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2026-06-15, 81 days at 0.03, as of 2026-09-04. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

No weakness class or product neighbourhood is held for this record, so this index cannot name anywhere to check next. That is an absence in the record, not a finding about the software.

Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signal

Running Microsoft Windows Server 2008? Check your version

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

Written for the ticket you're about to file.

Reachneeds local access · low privileges required · no user interaction · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · NVD's vectorreceipt
Weakness classNo CWE mapping in held sources.
Ransomware campaign useUnknown to CISAreceipt

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed inNo fix version in held sources, as the index stood on 4 Sep 2026.
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.
CISA remediation statusoverdue since 2022-06-13receipt
CISA required actionApply updates per vendor instructions.receipt
Published to CISA KEV1286 daysderived

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed, 2022-05-23.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed2022-05-23receipt
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, NVD7.8 HIGHreceipt
Exploit probability0.03023 · top 13% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymicrosoftreceipt
Recorded changes50 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Affected productMicrosoft Windows Server 2008; Microsoft Windows 7; Microsoft Windows Server 2008 R2receipt
Published rangesmicrosoft windows server 2008 r2receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

An elevation of privilege vulnerability exists when Windows improperly handles calls to Win32k.sys, aka "Windows Win32k Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability." This affects Windows Server 2008, Windows 7, Windows Server 2008 R2. receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
7.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
affected versions
microsoft windows server 2008 r2
also scored by
7.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:L/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

check it yourself securityfocus.com securitytracker.com portal.msrc.microsoft.com receipt

Dated events

2022-02-04EPSS moved 0.09 to 0.012022-05-23Added to CISA KEV2022-06-13CISA remediation due2026-06-15EPSS moved 0.50 to 0.03

Movement the material steps

14 Apr 20210.08756
7 Mar 20230.00217 · scoring model v2023.03.01
17 Mar 20250.01398 · scoring model v2025.03.14
22 Oct 20250.12132 · crossed 0.10
29 Oct 20250.40321
18 Nov 20250.56857 · crossed 0.50
21 Nov 20250.46849 · crossed 0.50
4 Apr 20260.50438 · crossed 0.50
15 Jun 20260.03048 · crossed 0.10 and 0.50 · scoring model v2026.06.15
28 Jun 20260.03023

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 39 observations
14 Apr 20210.08756
4 Feb 20220.01418
7 Mar 20230.00217
11 Apr 20230.00286
26 Apr 20230.00124
8 Jul 20230.00115
14 Aug 20230.00089
4 Sep 20230.00093
5 Sep 20230.00089
7 Nov 20230.00101
18 Jan 20240.00118
15 Mar 20240.00101
3 Jul 20240.00129
23 Sep 20240.00183
17 Dec 20240.02401
9 Jan 20250.02199
17 Mar 20250.01398
29 Mar 20250.03525
30 Mar 20250.01398
5 Apr 20250.05275
26 May 20250.05524
15 Jun 20250.05667
21 Jun 20250.05524
29 Jun 20250.04922
23 Aug 20250.04183
30 Aug 20250.04106
18 Oct 20250.04833
19 Oct 20250.0518
22 Oct 20250.12132
29 Oct 20250.40321
8 Nov 20250.46257
18 Nov 20250.56857
21 Nov 20250.46849
24 Nov 20250.46257
18 Feb 20260.46849
20 Feb 20260.46257
4 Apr 20260.50438
15 Jun 20260.03048
28 Jun 20260.03023

39 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.03023Published2018-11-14CISA KEV2022-05-23Index as of2026-09-04

Listed by CISA 1286 days after it published, exploit probability more than doubled between 2025-10-19 and 2025-10-22 (0.0518 → 0.12132) and the record had been public for 7 years, 9 months when this index was last written.

No material movement in 68 days as of the last ingest this index recorded.

Published 2018-11-14 receipt · CISA KEV 2022-05-23 receipt · Index as of 2026-09-04 derived

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