vciy

CVE-2015-8103

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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The Jenkins CLI subsystem in Jenkins before 1.638 and LTS before 1.625.2 allows remote attackers to execute arbitrary code via a crafted serialized…

CVE-2015-81033 of 4 sources documented this
58

rank 58 = 28 + 25 + 0 + 5 + 0

rank@v1 · this cycle

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.86714  ·  without this subject the record ranks 30

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 9.8, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 33

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

no persisting rise in 365 days  ·  without this subject the record ranks 58

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

4 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 53

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

no CISA due date  ·  without this subject the record ranks 58

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$4.33Mover the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement-$201,000on 2026-05-16, the last material move, 2 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$4.33M = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.86714 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.86714EPSSNOT IN KEVas of 2026-09-20
Severity9.8 CRITICALreceipt
Harmtotal loss · unauthenticatedreceipt
Exploitationpublic proof-of-conceptreceipt
Defenseunaffected versions publishedreceipt
Movementsteadyreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2024-08-01, 717 days at 0.87, as of 2026-07-19. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

SonicWall SMA1000SolarWinds WebMicrosoftVeeam BackupIBM Aspera FaspexAdobe ColdFusion8103

This record is one instance of CWE-502, deserialization of untrusted data. The index holds 3288 prior instances of this class, 76 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. taxonomy@v1

Full pattern panel

Prior records in this weakness class. Each is its own record, dated and receipted.
Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signalspoke length is how much of the record matches, not how bad it is

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

Written for the ticket you're about to file.

Reachnetwork-reachable · no privileges required · no user interaction · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v3.1 · NVD's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-502 Deserialization of Untrusted Datareceipt
Published consequencesCWE-502: Integrity: Modify Application Data, Unexpected State; Availability: DoS: Resource Consumption (CPU); Other: Varies by Context[email protected]

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

First unaffected version, by branchjenkins 1.625.2; jenkins 1.638receipt
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Proof-of-concept published · 2 public repositories, 2019-01-06.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published · 2 public repositories2019-01-06receipt
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, NVD9.8 CRITICALreceipt
Exploit probability0.86714 · top 0.27% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth2 products across 2 vendorsderived
Assigned bymitrereceipt
Recorded changes35 · last 18 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Named in the CPE rangesJenkins; Redhat openshift container platformreceipt
Published rangesredhat openshift container platform 2.2; redhat openshift container platform 3.1; jenkins < 1.625.2; jenkins < 1.638receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

The Jenkins CLI subsystem in Jenkins before 1.638 and LTS before 1.625.2 allows remote attackers to execute arbitrary code via a crafted serialized Java object, related to a problematic webapps/ROOT/WEB-INF/lib/commons-collections-*.jar file and the "Groovy variant in 'ysoserial'". receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
9.8 CVSS:3.1/AV:N/AC:L/PR:N/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H
weakness
CWE-502
affected versions
redhat openshift container platform 2.2; redhat openshift container platform 3.1; jenkins < 1.625.2; and 1 more, listed in full below

check it yourself packetstormsecurity.com jenkins-ci.org openwall.com rhn.redhat.com securityfocus.com openwall.com +6 morereceipt

Dated events

2023-03-07EPSS moved 0.94 to 0.252026-05-16EPSS moved 0.90 to 0.86

Movement the material steps

4 Feb 20220.94201
7 Mar 20230.25488 · crossed 0.50 and 0.90 · scoring model v2023.03.01
19 Oct 20230.39380
9 Jan 20240.87045 · crossed 0.50
19 Jun 20240.73733
1 Aug 20240.83925
17 Dec 20240.93221 · crossed 0.90
17 Mar 20250.90563 · scoring model v2025.03.14
16 May 20260.86333 · crossed 0.90
15 Jun 20260.86829 · scoring model v2026.06.15
19 Jul 20260.86714
Show all 32 observations
4 Feb 20220.94201
7 Mar 20230.25488
9 Jun 20230.25354
15 Aug 20230.32018
19 Oct 20230.39380
9 Jan 20240.87045
23 Jan 20240.87415
25 Feb 20240.86415
15 Mar 20240.79493
30 Mar 20240.80770
9 May 20240.77392
19 Jun 20240.73733
1 Aug 20240.83925
1 Nov 20240.80482
17 Dec 20240.93221
19 Dec 20240.91408
17 Mar 20250.90563
17 Apr 20250.90116
29 Jun 20250.90434
16 Jul 20250.90512
20 Jul 20250.90634
29 Jul 20250.90558
1 Oct 20250.9037
27 Oct 20250.90558
28 Oct 20250.9037
4 Dec 20250.90824
27 Dec 20250.90992
28 Dec 20250.90824
1 Apr 20260.9037
16 May 20260.86333
15 Jun 20260.86829
19 Jul 20260.86714

32 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.86714Published2015-11-25Public PoC2019-01-06Index as of2026-07-19

The record had been public for 10 years, 7 months when this index was last written.

Published 2015-11-25 receipt · Public PoC 2019-01-06 receipt · Index as of 2026-07-19 derived

The pattern, elsewhere

This record is one instance of CWE-502, deserialization of untrusted data. The index holds 3288 prior instances of this class, 76 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. [email protected]

CVE-2025-23006 · SonicWall SMA1000matches 8 of 8KEV listed · 2025receipt
CVE-2025-26399 · SolarWinds Web Help Deskmatches 8 of 8KEV listed · 2025receipt
CVE-2025-53770 · Microsoft SharePoint Enterprise Server 2016matches 8 of 8KEV listed · 2025receipt
CVE-2024-40711 · Veeam Backup and Recoverymatches 8 of 8KEV listed · 2024receipt
CVE-2022-47986 · IBM Aspera Faspexmatches 8 of 8KEV listed · 2023receipt
CVE-2023-29300 · Adobe ColdFusionmatches 8 of 8KEV listed · 2023receipt

"Matches n of m" counts the attributes the two records can both be compared on: the CVSS metrics they share a version of, any weakness class beyond this one, and the vendor. fit-rules@v1

3288 records in this class held. The six above are drawn from the ones CISA has listed as exploited, ranked by how much of the record matches this one. That is why every one of them is KEV-listed: the pool is, so the colour on those spokes says nothing the pool has not already said.

No curated product neighbourhood is held for this product, so the records above are the nearest this index can name. The neighbourhood table covers a small set of products and is extended by hand.

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