vciy

CVE-2015-1769

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Mount Manager in Microsoft Windows Vista SP2, Windows Server 2008 SP2 and R2 SP1, Windows 7 SP1, Windows 8, Windows 8.1, Windows Server 2012 Gold and…

CVE-2015-17693 of 4 sources documented this
72

rank 72 = 40 + 18 + 4 + 4 + 6

rank@v1 · act now

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.04078 · CISA KEV listed  ·  without this subject the record ranks 32

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 7.2, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 54

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

rose on 2026-04-23  ·  without this subject the record ranks 68

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

2 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 68

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

CISA remediation date held  ·  without this subject the record ranks 66

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$203,000over the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement+$1.28Mon 2026-04-23, the last material move, 4 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$203,000 = $4.99M incident cost x 1 exposure x 0.04078 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.04078EPSSKEV · LISTED
Severity7.2 HIGHreceipt
Harmtotal lossreceipt
Exploitationin the wild · KEVreceipt
Defenseno fix version held
Movementdoubled within 72hreceipt
PLATEAU10Minimal movement since 2026-06-15, 95 days at 0.04, as of 2026-09-18. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

CVE-2015-3246CVE-2016-36431769

This record is one instance of CWE-264. The index holds 5501 prior instances of this class, 2 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. taxonomy@v1

Full pattern panel

Prior records in this weakness class. Each is its own record, dated and receipted.
Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signalspoke length is how much of the record matches, not how bad it is

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

Written for the ticket you're about to file.

Reachneeds local access · no authentication · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactComplete confidentiality, integrity and availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v2.0 · NVD's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-264receipt
Published consequencesMITRE publishes no common consequences for this weakness.[email protected]
Ransomware campaign useUnknown to CISAreceipt

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed inNo fix version in held sources, as the index stood on 18 Sep 2026.
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.
CISA remediation statusoverdue since 2022-06-15receipt
CISA required actionApply updates per vendor instructions.receipt
Published to CISA KEV2475 daysderived

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed, 2022-05-25.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published · 1 public repository2021-02-17receipt
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed2022-05-25receipt
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, NVD7.2 HIGHreceipt
Exploit probability0.04078 · top 10% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymicrosoftreceipt
Recorded changes44 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Named in the CPE rangesMicrosoft windows serverreceipt
Published rangesmicrosoft windows server 2008 r2; microsoft windows server 2012 r2receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

Mount Manager in Microsoft Windows Vista SP2, Windows Server 2008 SP2 and R2 SP1, Windows 7 SP1, Windows 8, Windows 8.1, Windows Server 2012 Gold and R2, Windows RT Gold and 8.1, and Windows 10 mishandles symlinks, which allows physically proximate attackers to execute arbitrary code by connecting a crafted USB device, aka "Mount Manager Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability." receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
7.2 AV:L/AC:L/Au:N/C:C/I:C/A:C
weakness
CWE-264
affected versions
microsoft windows server 2008 r2; microsoft windows server 2012 r2
also scored by
6.6 CVSS:3.1/AV:P/AC:L/PR:L/UI:N/S:U/C:H/I:H/A:H

check it yourself blogs.technet.com docs.microsoft.com securitytracker.com receipt

Dated events

2022-05-25Added to CISA KEV2022-06-15CISA remediation due2025-03-17EPSS moved 0.00 to 0.322026-06-15EPSS moved 0.57 to 0.04

Movement the material steps

4 Feb 20220.02503
7 Mar 20230.00167 · scoring model v2023.03.01
17 Mar 20250.32133 · crossed 0.10 · scoring model v2025.03.14
28 Mar 20250.16947
29 Mar 20250.39205
30 Mar 20250.16947
22 Oct 20250.34781
23 Apr 20260.57398 · crossed 0.50
15 Jun 20260.04304 · crossed 0.10 and 0.50 · scoring model v2026.06.15
18 Sep 20260.04078

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 30 observations
4 Feb 20220.02503
7 Mar 20230.00167
9 Mar 20240.00173
25 Mar 20240.00205
26 Mar 20240.00173
14 May 20240.00205
15 May 20240.00173
4 Jun 20240.00140
17 Dec 20240.00155
17 Mar 20250.32133
19 Mar 20250.39205
20 Mar 20250.32882
27 Mar 20250.39205
28 Mar 20250.16947
29 Mar 20250.39205
30 Mar 20250.16947
27 May 20250.15334
10 Jun 20250.10775
7 Jul 20250.14049
7 Aug 20250.16009
24 Aug 20250.12652
22 Oct 20250.34781
5 Nov 20250.31361
6 Jan 20260.28425
7 Feb 20260.3179
23 Apr 20260.57398
15 Jun 20260.04304
16 Jun 20260.04339
10 Aug 20260.04111
18 Sep 20260.04078

30 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.04078Published2015-08-15Public PoC2021-02-17CISA KEV2022-05-25Index as of2026-09-18

Listed by CISA 2475 days after it published, exploit probability more than doubled between 2025-03-28 and 2025-03-29 (0.16947 → 0.39205) and the record had been public for 11 years, 1 month when this index was last written.

Published 2015-08-15 receipt · Public PoC 2021-02-17 receipt · CISA KEV 2022-05-25 receipt · Index as of 2026-09-18 derived

The pattern, elsewhere

This record is one instance of CWE-264. The index holds 5501 prior instances of this class, 2 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. [email protected]

CVE-2015-3246matches 6 of 6KEV listed · 2015receipt
CVE-2016-3643nothing comparable heldKEV listed · 2016receipt

"Matches n of m" counts the attributes the two records can both be compared on: the CVSS metrics they share a version of, any weakness class beyond this one, and the vendor. fit-rules@v1

5501 records in this class held. The six above are drawn from the ones CISA has listed as exploited, ranked by how much of the record matches this one. That is why every one of them is KEV-listed: the pool is, so the colour on those spokes says nothing the pool has not already said.

No curated product neighbourhood is held for this product, so the records above are the nearest this index can name. The neighbourhood table covers a small set of products and is extended by hand.

Siblings and hubs

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