vciy

CVE-2015-1761

INDEX BUILT · 2026-09-20

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Microsoft SQL Server 2008 SP3 and SP4, 2008 R2 SP2 and SP3, 2012 SP1 and SP2, and 2014 uses an incorrect class during casts of unspecified pointers…

CVE-2015-17613 of 4 sources documented this
26

rank 26 = 5 + 16 + 0 + 5 + 0

rank@v1 · scheduled

Someone is already using it

CISA KEV catalog · public proof-of-concept · FIRST EPSS

EPSS 0.18500  ·  without this subject the record ranks 21

What it costs you if it fires

NVD CVSS base score, then the CNA's own

CVSS 6.5, from NVD  ·  without this subject the record ranks 10

It is getting worse, not staying still

FIRST EPSS series, rescorings and bad loads removed

no persisting rise in 365 days  ·  without this subject the record ranks 26

How much of the world it touches

NVD CPE configurations

3 products in the CPE ranges  ·  without this subject the record ranks 21

Someone else already set the date

CISA KEV remediation due date

no CISA due date  ·  without this subject the record ranks 26

Unaudited dollar value2 of 3 inputs carry a receipt
Exposure$595,000over the next 30 days, if this record is yours
Movement-$326,000on 2026-03-04, the last material move, 3 months before this reading
Basisassumeda published average, not your estate

$595,000 = $4.99M incident cost x 0.6442432101309884 exposure x 0.185 likelihood

udv@v1 · unaudited · wrong for you until you say what you run

$4.99M is the cost of a breach that happened, from IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2026, global average. It is not the value of any asset of yours. That average already covers breaches of every severity, so scaling it by exposure understates a partial-impact record. That is an assumption, not a measurement. Your own asset value goes in the decision record.

Hindsight · the state

0.185EPSSNOT IN KEVas of 2026-09-20
Severity6.5 MEDIUMreceipt
Harmpartial impactreceipt
Exploitationnone in held sources
Defenseno fix version held
Movementthreshold crossedreceipt
RISING10Risen from 0.11348 to 0.185 across 46 observations. arc-rules@v1

Foresight · where to check next

CVE-2013-0422CVE-2012-1723SonicWall SonicOSPaperCut NGCitrix ShareFileCVE-2019-116341761

This record is one instance of CWE-284, improper access control. The index holds 8101 prior instances of this class, 35 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. taxonomy@v1

Full pattern panel

Prior records in this weakness class. Each is its own record, dated and receipted.
Color is a claim, not decoration:the hostile worldthe defenseno signalspoke length is how much of the record matches, not how bad it is

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Harm, if it fires from the vector and the weakness

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Reachnetwork-reachable · one authentication · low attack complexityreceipt
ImpactPartial confidentiality, integrity and availability lossreceipt
Scored fromCVSS v2.0 · NVD's vectorreceipt
Weakness classCWE-284 Improper Access Controlreceipt
Published consequencesCWE-284: Other: Varies by Context[email protected]

CISA KEV & Federal Remediation Deadline from the record and CISA

The fix, and how long it's been waiting.

Fixed inNo fix version in held sources, as the index stood on 15 Jun 2026.
Patch available sinceNo dated patch-availability record in held sources. The index holds reference URLs without dates and only the current revision of the CVE record, so the day a fix first existed cannot be derived. Only the versions it landed in.

Exploit Status & Known PoCs a ladder, not a score

Current rung: Nothing observed in held sources.

  • RUNG 1Nothing observed in held sources
  • RUNG 2Proof-of-concept published
  • RUNG 3Exploited in the wild · CISA KEV listed
  • RUNG 4Ransomware campaign use known

Authority who says so

CVSS, NVD6.5 MEDIUMreceipt
Exploit probability0.185 · top 3% of all CVEsreceipt
Blast breadth1 product across 1 vendorderived
Assigned bymicrosoftreceipt
Recorded changes46 · last 19 Sep 2026derived

Affected & Fixed Versions as published

Named in the CPE rangesMicrosoft sql serverreceipt
Published rangesmicrosoft sql server 2008; microsoft sql server 2012; microsoft sql server 2014receipt

A rung lights from a row in the index, never from an assessment. "Held sources" is the true scope of the claim: this index reads the CVE record, NVD, CISA KEV, FIRST's EPSS and public proof-of-concept repositories, and it does not observe attacks.

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What it is stated by the CNA

Microsoft SQL Server 2008 SP3 and SP4, 2008 R2 SP2 and SP3, 2012 SP1 and SP2, and 2014 uses an incorrect class during casts of unspecified pointers, which allows remote authenticated users to gain privileges by leveraging certain write access, aka "SQL Server Elevation of Privilege Vulnerability." receipt

NVD's analysis a second authority

severity
6.5 AV:N/AC:L/Au:S/C:P/I:P/A:P
weakness
CWE-284
affected versions
microsoft sql server 2008; microsoft sql server 2012; microsoft sql server 2014

check it yourself securitytracker.com docs.microsoft.com h20566.www2.hpe.com receipt

Dated events

2023-03-07EPSS moved 0.12 to 0.012025-03-17EPSS moved 0.01 to 0.202026-06-15EPSS moved 0.07 to 0.18

Movement the material steps

4 Feb 20220.11348
7 Mar 20230.01386 · crossed 0.10 · scoring model v2023.03.01
17 Mar 20250.20213 · crossed 0.10 · scoring model v2025.03.14
20 Mar 20250.09358 · crossed 0.10
27 Mar 20250.20213 · crossed 0.10
28 Mar 20250.09358 · crossed 0.10
9 Apr 20250.20213 · crossed 0.10
10 Apr 20250.09358 · crossed 0.10
13 Apr 20250.20213 · crossed 0.10
14 Apr 20250.09358 · crossed 0.10
18 Apr 20250.20213 · crossed 0.10
19 Apr 20250.09358 · crossed 0.10
26 Apr 20250.20213 · crossed 0.10
29 Apr 20250.09358 · crossed 0.10
1 May 20250.20213 · crossed 0.10
4 May 20250.09358 · crossed 0.10
1 Jun 20250.2056 · crossed 0.10
5 Jun 20250.08421 · crossed 0.10
1 Jul 20250.2056 · crossed 0.10
5 Jul 20250.08421 · crossed 0.10
1 Aug 20250.2056 · crossed 0.10
5 Aug 20250.08421 · crossed 0.10
1 Sep 20250.2056 · crossed 0.10
4 Sep 20250.08421 · crossed 0.10
1 Oct 20250.2056 · crossed 0.10
4 Oct 20250.08421 · crossed 0.10
1 Nov 20250.16786 · crossed 0.10
4 Nov 20250.06637 · crossed 0.10
1 Dec 20250.16786 · crossed 0.10
4 Dec 20250.06637 · crossed 0.10
1 Jan 20260.16786 · crossed 0.10
4 Jan 20260.06637 · crossed 0.10
1 Feb 20260.16786 · crossed 0.10
4 Feb 20260.06637 · crossed 0.10
1 Mar 20260.16786 · crossed 0.10
4 Mar 20260.06637 · crossed 0.10
15 Jun 20260.185 · crossed 0.10 · scoring model v2026.06.15

This score more than doubled inside 72 hours. Both observations are in the full history below.

Show all 46 observations
4 Feb 20220.11348
12 Feb 20230.12321
7 Mar 20230.01386
3 Apr 20230.01555
6 May 20230.01659
13 Aug 20230.01479
14 Oct 20230.01386
17 Mar 20250.20213
20 Mar 20250.09358
27 Mar 20250.20213
28 Mar 20250.09358
29 Mar 20250.07828
30 Mar 20250.09358
9 Apr 20250.20213
10 Apr 20250.09358
13 Apr 20250.20213
14 Apr 20250.09358
18 Apr 20250.20213
19 Apr 20250.09358
26 Apr 20250.20213
29 Apr 20250.09358
1 May 20250.20213
4 May 20250.09358
25 May 20250.08421
1 Jun 20250.2056
5 Jun 20250.08421
1 Jul 20250.2056
5 Jul 20250.08421
1 Aug 20250.2056
5 Aug 20250.08421
1 Sep 20250.2056
4 Sep 20250.08421
1 Oct 20250.2056
4 Oct 20250.08421
20 Oct 20250.06637
1 Nov 20250.16786
4 Nov 20250.06637
1 Dec 20250.16786
4 Dec 20250.06637
1 Jan 20260.16786
4 Jan 20260.06637
1 Feb 20260.16786
4 Feb 20260.06637
1 Mar 20260.16786
4 Mar 20260.06637
15 Jun 20260.185

46 observations held. A highlighted step crossed a promotion threshold. A step marked with a scoring model moved because the instrument was replaced, not because the vulnerability changed. receipt

The full biography

EPSS 0.185Published2015-07-14Index as of2026-06-15

Exploit probability more than doubled between 2025-04-10 and 2025-04-13 (0.09358 → 0.20213) and the record had been public for 10 years, 11 months when this index was last written.

Published 2015-07-14 receipt · Index as of 2026-06-15 derived

The pattern, elsewhere

This record is one instance of CWE-284, improper access control. The index holds 8101 prior instances of this class, 35 KEV-listed. The nearest of its KEV-listed records are drawn beside this. [email protected]

CVE-2013-0422matches 2 of 6KEV listed · 2013receipt
CVE-2012-1723matches 2 of 6KEV listed · 2012receipt
CVE-2024-40766 · SonicWall SonicOSnothing comparable heldKEV listed · 2024receipt
CVE-2023-27350 · PaperCut NGnothing comparable heldKEV listed · 2023receipt
CVE-2021-22941 · Citrix ShareFile storage zones controllernothing comparable heldKEV listed · 2021receipt
CVE-2019-11634nothing comparable heldKEV listed · 2019receipt

"Matches n of m" counts the attributes the two records can both be compared on: the CVSS metrics they share a version of, any weakness class beyond this one, and the vendor. fit-rules@v1

8101 records in this class held. The six above are drawn from the ones CISA has listed as exploited, ranked by how much of the record matches this one. That is why every one of them is KEV-listed: the pool is, so the colour on those spokes says nothing the pool has not already said.

No curated product neighbourhood is held for this product, so the records above are the nearest this index can name. The neighbourhood table covers a small set of products and is extended by hand.

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What usually comes next

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